Portland Trail Blazers at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Sacramento Kings NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Sacramento Kings (5-6) host the Portland Trail Blazers (6-4) Wednesday at Golden 1 Center for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Trail Blazers-Kings NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Portland rallied from a 10-point deficit heading into the fourth quarter to beat the Toronto Raptors 112-111 as a 4.5-point favorite Monday. SG C.J. McCollum hit a game-winning pull-up jumper with 9.9 seconds remaining as part of his game-high 30 points to give Portland the win.

The Kings notched an impressive 127-122 home win against the Indiana Pacers as 3.5-point underdogs their last time out (Monday). Sacramento’s offense was on point vs. Indiana, shooting 56% from the field, including 15-for-32 from behind the arc. The Pacers also had 29 assists as a team.

The Trail Blazers steamrolled the Kings 125-99 in Sacramento this past Saturday. Portland outscored the Kings in all four quarters and McCollum erupted for a game-high 37 points on 13-for-22 shooting.

Trail Blazers at Kings: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Trail Blazers -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Kings +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Trail Blazers -4.5 (-105) | Kings +4.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 235.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Trail Blazers at Kings: Key Injuries

Trail Blazers

  • PF Zach Collins (ankle) out
  • PG Damian Lillard (ankle) probable
  • Jusuf Nurkic (quadriceps) questionable

Kings

  • C Richaun Holmes (ankle) probable
  • SG Buddy Hield (ankle) probable

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Trail Blazers at Kings: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Kings 125, Blazers 114

Money line (ML)

If Nurkic can’t play or is compromised health-wise then that forces C Enes Kanter into starter’s minutes for the Blazers, which plummets their efficiency on both ends of the court. With Kanter on the court vs. off of it, Portland is in the 26th-percentile in efficiency differential and in the eighth-percentile in defensive efficiency, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Nurkic isn’t a Defensive Player of the Year candidate or anything but just him not being 100% really helps a Kings offense that struggled in their first meeting with the Blazers.

Most importantly, since I’m taking Sacramento to cover, I’ll sprinkle a tiny wager on KINGS (+150) to upset the Blazers.

Against the spread (ATS)

This is shaping up to be a Pros vs. Joes situation in the betting market: According to Pregame.com, more than 75% of the money is on the Kings to cover but a majority of the actual bets placed are on the Blazers. The money column is typically the sharp side and the volume of action is the average joe. Let’s follow the money and BET KINGS +4.5 (-115) for 1.5 units.

Over/Under (O/U)

There’s inherently some value in the Over here because of how terrible Sacramento’s offense played in the first Trail Blazers-Kings game.

The box score gives the impression Portland played good defense when in reality that rarely is the case for the Blazers and it was more just poor Sacramento shooting. Furthermore, Portland has the best backcourt in the NBA and the Kings are dead last in defensive rating.

GIMME OVER 235.5 (-115) for a half-unit.

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