Portland Trail Blazers at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Sacramento Kings NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Portland Trail Blazers (4-4) stop by Golden 1 Center Saturday for a 10 p.m. ET game against the Sacramento Kings (4-5). Below, we analyze the Trail Blazers-Kings NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Trail Blazers rolled the Minnesota Timberwolves 135-117 as 10-point home favorites Thursday. Portland shot much better from the field—hitting 54.4% of its shots compared to Minnesota’s 41.9%—and were up as many as 31 points in the game. PG Damian Lillard erupted for a game-high 39 points on 61.9% shooting (7-for-12 from three) with 7 rebounds and 7 assists.

Sacramento took a 21-point beatdown at home by a two-win Toronto Raptors team last night. The Kings lost 144-123 despite sinking 56.8% of their shots and hitting 15 of 34 shots from behind the arc (44.1%). Sacramento PG De’Aaron Fox’s game status was questionable but, he gritted it out and led the Kings in scoring with 23 points on 9-for-11 shooting.

Portland and Sacramento split the season series 2-2 last year (straight up and against the spread) and the Over cashed in three of four Trail Blazers-Kings games.

Trail Blazers at Kings: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Trail Blazers -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Kings +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Trail Blazers -5.5 (-120) | Kings +5.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 237.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Trail Blazers at Kings: Key Injuries

Trail Blazers

  • Zach Collins (ankle) out

Kings

  • Nothing affecting the betting lines.

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Trail Blazers at Kings: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Kings 122, Trail Blazers 116

Money line (ML)

lean KINGS (+200) for a quarter-unit because it’s a long-term strategy of mine to sprinkle on an underdog’s money line if I am betting them to cover the spread. If it’s one or the other, definitely take the points with Sacramento.

Against the spread (ATS)

This is more of a bet against Portland rather than a bet on Sacramento but, I don’t think the Trail Blazers should be laying this many points on the road against a team with a similar record.

A lot of NBA junkies were high on Portland coming into the season and that could all be wishful thinking. Lillard is a superstar but the Trail Blazers had a losing record last season. Also, Portland is just 3-5 ATS this season and 5-8 ATS as a road dog since 2019.

GIMME KINGS +5.5 (+100) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

I only lean OVER 237.5 (-115) because it’s a fairly obvious bet but “fairly obvious bets” don’t have a good winning percentage against the House. Furthermore, I do have a little sticker shock since Saturday’s meeting has the highest projected total between these teams in a long time.

The Over has cashed in four of the last five Trail Blazers-Kings games, both sides are in the bottom-10 of the NBA in defensive rating and play at an above-average pace.

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