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The Pop-Tarts Bowl is Saturday and features No. 19 Iowa State Cyclones (10-3) of the Big 12 taking on the Miami Hurricanes (10-2) of the ACC. Kickoff from Camping World Stadium in Orlando is at 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Iowa State vs. Miami odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Iowa State made it to the Big 12 championship but was blown out by the Arizona State Sun Devils 45-19 as 1.5-point favorites after going 7-2 in conference play. The Cylones won its final 3 regular-season games to make the conference title game.
Miami’s 42-38 loss on the road at the Syracuse Orange in the final week of the regular season kept it out of the ACC title game. The Hurricanes were 12-point favorites entering the game. They finished the season losing 2 of their final 3 games.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Iowa State vs. Miami odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 2:28 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Iowa State +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Miami -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Iowa State +4.5 (-110) | Miami -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 56.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Iowa State vs. Miami picks and predictions
Prediction
Iowa State 37, Miami 34
Moneyline
Miami had the No. 2 passing offense in the country (359.2 yards per game) but face Iowa States No. 4-ranked pass defense (161.7 yards per game). Miami was No. 1 in the country in scoring at 44.2 PPG, while Iowa State, although not on the same level, averaged 30.2 PPG.
Where the Cyclones struggled against Arizona State was in stopping the run game as they allowed 245 rushing yards.
Both teams are disappointed in missing the College Football Playoff, Iowa State for its loss in the conference championship and Miami losing the opportunity to play for the ACC title. This should be a competitive game and I like the upset.
BET IOWA STATE (+165).
Against the spread
Both teams underperformed against the spread, as both won 10 games but Iowa State had 7 covers, while Miami had 6.
Iowa State won its only game it was the underdog, a 20-19 win over the Iowa Hawkeyes as 3-point dogs.
Miami was favored in every game, going 6-6 ATS and 2-2 ATS with spreads of 10 or fewer points. The Hurricanes’ 2 losses were to a 9-win Syracuse team and a 7-win Georgia Tech squad.
I like the Cyclones to cover, but believing in the outright win with plus odds, the moneyline is the better bet.
PASS.
Over/Under
Both teams should score points.
Iowa State averaged 32.5 points over its final 4 games of the regular season.
Miami scored fewer than 30 points only once all season.
BET OVER 56.5 (-115).
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