The Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7-1) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (12-5) Sunday for an AFC Wild Card battle. Kickoff at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Steelers vs. Chiefs odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.
The Steelers snuck into the playoffs behind a 16-13 overtime win at the Baltimore Ravens in Week 18, but also needed the help the Jacksonville Jaguars’ stunning 26-11 upset of the Indianapolis Colts. This could be Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger’s final game as he is expected to retire after the season.
The Chiefs bounced back from a 3-4 start to the season by winning nine of their final 10 games. They were 7-2 at home this season and beat the Steelers 36-10 at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 16.
Also see: Wild Card Weekend picks and predictions
Steelers at Chiefs odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:17 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Steelers +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | Chiefs -750 (bet $750 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Steelers +12.5 (-112) | Chiefs -12.5 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Steelers at Chiefs key injuries
Steelers
- None
Chiefs
- RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (shoulder) out
- RB Darrel Williams (toe) questionable
Let’s Make This Interesting
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Steelers at Chiefs odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Chiefs 24, Steelers 17
Money line
PASS. There is no reason to consider the Steelers for the upset. They are overmatched against a team that is built to make it to its third Super Bowl in a row.
Meanwhile, the Chiefs’ -750 price is way too high and not worth the risk.
Against the spread
BET PITTSBURGH +12.5 (-112).
Both the Chiefs and the Steelers were 8-9 ATS in the regular season. The Chiefs beat the Steelers by 26 points just a few weeks ago.
There is one way to slow the Chiefs and that is by getting pressure on QB Patrick Mahomes. The Steelers have the league’s sack champion in LB T.J. Watt, who recorded 22.5 sacks this season. With injury issues and questionable depth at running back, the Chiefs will have to rely on their passing game.
The Chiefs will win the game, but it won’t be a blowout.
They were 2-2 ATS when favored by 10 or more points.
Take the STEELERS +12.5 (-112).
Over/Under
Back UNDER 46.5 (-112).
The two teams combined for 46 points in Week 16. It’s the Steelers’ only game in their last four that cashed an Over ticket.
The last five games for the Chiefs hit the Over, but the Steelers just don’t have the offense to help much. I don’t think the Chiefs get 30 in this game and I don’t think the Steelers will score enough to help on their end.
BET UNDER 46.5 (-112).
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