The Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6-1) are on the road for a tilt with the Kansas City Chiefs (10-4) Sunday in Week 16. Kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is set for 4:25 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Steelers vs. Chiefs odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.
The Steelers’ playoff hopes aren’t entirely dashed yet, despite that they’re third in the AFC North, although they are on the outside looking in as the season winds down. Pittsburgh has alternated wins and losses over its last four games (2-2 ATS), most recently picking up a 19-13 home victory over the Tennessee Titans in Week 15.
The Chiefs have rattled off seven consecutive victories after starting the season 3-4. Kansas City also enters on a 5-0 ATS run, most recently picking up a 34-28 overtime victory on the road at the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 15.
Steelers at Chiefs odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Steelers +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Chiefs -550 (bet $550 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Steelers +10.5 (-120) | Chiefs -10.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Steelers at Chiefs key injuries
Steelers
- TE Pat Freiermuth (concussion) out
- DL Chris Wormley (groin) out
- LB Devin Bush (COVID/reserve) out
Chiefs
- TE Travis Kelce (COVID/reserve) out
- OL Lucas Niang (COVID/reserve) out
- LB Nick Bolton (COVID/reserve) out
Let’s Make This Interesting
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Steelers at Chiefs odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Chiefs 31, Steelers 17
Money line
Although the Chiefs are almost certainly the correct side of this line, there’s just no value in betting more than five times your potential return.
PASS on the money line.
Against the spread
Kansas City has been rolling lately, and while Pittsburgh’s defense has been effective off and on all season, it has been lit up by high-octane teams in over the last month, giving up 41 points to the Cincinnati Bengals and 36 to the Minnesota Vikings.
While KC will undoubtedly feel the absence of Kelce in its offensive gameplan, WR Tyreek Hill, who had been on the COVID list earlier in the week was able to clear protocols and will be active.
Pittsburgh has been held to 20 or fewer points in three of its last four outings, and even if it can get near that number today it probably won’t push far beyond it.
BET the CHIEFS -10.5 (+100).
Over/Under
Kansas City, despite missing some pieces, should be able to take advantage of Pittsburgh and will do more than its fair share to get this over the number Sunday. The Chiefs are looking to finish the season strong as they surge toward a bye in the opening week of the playoffs.
Pittsburgh and KC have both gone 3-2 O/U over their last five games. I’m anticipating this one adds to the Over column.
TAKE the OVER 44.5 (-110).
Also see: All Week 16 odds and lines
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