Pittsburgh Steelers at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions

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The Pittsburgh Steelers (2-0) and Atlanta Falcons (1-0-1) meet Thursday in Week 3 preseason action. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (NFL Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Steelers vs. Falcons odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Pittsburgh cruised to a 27-15 win vs. the Buffalo Bills in Week 2. The Steelers’ big-play ability was on full display in that win, with RB Jaylen Warren opening the game with a 62-yard rushing TD. QB Kenny Pickett looked solid yet again and he connected with TE Pat Freiermuth on a 25-yard pass in the 1st quarter.

QB Mitch Trubisky played the majority of the game for Pittsburgh, going 10-for-13 for 78 yards and a TD. QB Mason Rudolph also made an appearance, going 5-for-7 for 52 yards. Coach Mike Tomlin will play the Steelers starters on offense vs. the Falcons.

Atlanta is coming off a 13-13 tie vs. the Cincinnati Bengals. QB Desmond Ridder completed 7 of 9 passes for 80 yards with an interception that many thought should’ve been called back due to penalty. Ridder led an impressive, but penalty-plagued, drive at the end of the game that led to the game-tying FG with 2 seconds left.

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Steelers at Falcons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:16 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Steelers -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Falcons +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
Against the spread (ATS): Steelers -4.5 (-110) | Falcons +4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 38.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Steelers at Falcons picks and predictions

Prediction

Steelers 24, Falcons 17

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Steelers to win but at (-190) the line is not worth the juice. Bet on the spread and/or Over/Under instead.

Against the spread

LEAN STEELERS -4.5 (-110).

Tomlin plans to play all of his younger starters on the offensive and defensive sides of the ball, which gives the Steelers the advantage. I expect the Falcons to do some of the same, but the Steelers’ units have looked very good so far. Look for them to beat the Falcons by a good margin as they have won each of their 2 preseason games by double digits.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 38.5 (-110).

This Steelers offense has shown they can put up points, scoring 27 in each of the 1st 2 preseason games. Last season the Steelers offense only scored 1 offensive TD of over 25 yards; this preseason they have 4. The Falcons have had a solid defense throughout the preseason and a questionable offense, but if Smith starts the offensive starters then expect this game to hit the Over with how solid those starters looked last week.

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