The Pittsburgh Pirates (34-49) and Milwaukee Brewers (47-37) have already met 10 times this season, but they’ll open another 3-game series Friday at American Family Field. First pitch will be at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Brewers lead 8-2.
The Pirates have alternated wins and losses in their last 7 games, going 3-4 during that stretch and 5-9 in their last 14 games. Three games ago, they were blown out by the Yankees 16-0 at home.
The Brewers dropped 2 of 3 to the Chicago Cubs and split their last 4-game series with the Pirates. In their last 11 games, they’re 7-4.
Pirates at Brewers projected starters
RHP JT Brubaker vs. LHP Aaron Ashby
Brubaker (2-7, 4.28 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 82 IP.
- Has gone exactly 6 innings in each of his last 3 starts, allowing a total of 7 runs and striking out 17 batters.
- Last start was against the Brewers June 30 with 6 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 2 BB and 6 K in a 8-7 win.
Ashby (1-6, 4.60 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 58 2/3 IP.
- In 2 starts against the Pirates this season, Ashby has pitched 9 1/3 innings, allowed 5 runs and given up 2 HR.
- The Brewers have lost each of his last 4 starts after winning 4 consecutive games in which he appeared.
Pirates at Brewers odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:29 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Pirates +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Brewers -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-125) | Brewers -1.5 (+102)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Pirates at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 6, Pirates 3
Money line
Neither starter has pitched particularly well this season, owning a combined record of 3-13. But the Brewers have been the better team and have had the Pirates’ number by winning 8 of their first 10 meetings this season.
Because the money line is juiced to -220, I would PASS here, but I like the Brewers to win this one.
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Run line/Against the spread
This is a tough spot for the Pirates. They’ve played 4 games in the last 3 days, including a doubleheader Thursday against the Cincinnati Reds. The Brewers were off Thursday and should have their best lineup on the card.
Milwaukee has covered the spread 7 times against the Pirates this season and I think they’ll do so again Friday at home against a worn-out Pittsburgh team. Bet the BREWERS -1.5 (+102).
Over/Under
In 3 of the last 4 meetings between these teams, the final score went Over the total – including a 19-2 blowout win July 1 by the Brewers. Both pitchers strike out batters at a high rate, but they’ve also given up a combined 17 home runs and have WHIPs over 1.4.
Bet the OVER 8.5 (+100).
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