Pittsburgh Penguins at Buffalo Sabres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Pittsburgh Penguins at Buffalo Sabres odds and lines, with NHL expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Penguins (4-4-2) and Buffalo Sabres (6-3-0) meet Wednesday. The opening faceoff at KeyBank Center is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Penguins vs. Sabres odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Pittsburgh suffered a 6-5 overtime loss against the visiting Boston Bruins Tuesday. The Penguins are 0-4-1 in their last 5 games since starting the season 4-0-1. Defense and goaltending have been problems: the Pens have allowed 4.80 goals per game over that losing skid.

The Sabres routed the Detroit Red Wings 8-3 Monday and are 2-1-0 so far on a 4-game homestand ending with this contest. Buffalo has top-10 scoring averages at both ends of the ice, scoring 4.1 goals per game (2nd) and allowing just 2.8 goals per game (10th).

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Penguins at Sabres odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Penguins -117 (bet $117 to win $100) | Sabres -103 (bet $103 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Penguins -1.5 (+195) | Sabres +1.5 (-250)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Penguins at Sabres projected goalies

Casey DeSmith (0-2-1, 2.97 GAA, .913 SV%) vs. Craig Anderson (3-0-0,  1.66 GAA, .946 SV%)

DeSmith is making his 4th start of the season. He’s a 5-year NHL veteran who has found significantly more success at home (.925 SV% career) and in the latter months of the season.

Anderson is off to a terrific start. G Eric Comrie was between the pipes in Buffalo’s last game; Anderson was last in the net Saturday when he stopped 23-of-26 shots in a 4-3 Sabres win over the Chicago Blackhawks.

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Penguins at Sabres picks and predictions

Prediction

Penguins 4, Sabres 3

Moneyline

The Pens are scuffling, but at some point — maybe soon — they may be considered a solid play. On the back half of this home-road double, that’s not likely the case here.

Buffalo’s wins of late have been supported by solid puck-possession numbers. If the tag on the Sabres hits +110 or so, they are a decent short underdog. Otherwise, PASS.

Puck line/Against the spread

The last two series meetings last season went past 60 minutes, and 4 straight Pittsburgh-Buffalo games have been decided by 1 goal. With that and the above in mind, the price on the SABRES +1.5 (-250) is a solid one. However, it’s likely only a consideration for larger bankrolls.

Over/Under

Both powerplays have been operating at average levels while drawing a solid number of looks, and both teams have been creating a good number of high-danger chances.

With this goaltending match-up and with Pittsburgh struggling on the penalty kill (70.6%, 28th in the NHL), there is VALUE ON THE OVER 6.5 (-115).

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