The Phoenix Suns (33-9) travel to AT&T Center Monday to take on the San Antonio Spurs (16-27). Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Suns vs. Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
The Spurs are far better than their record indicates. They rank 16th in net rating (minus-0.3) yet their record would suggest they’re a bottom-eight team. San Antonio is 23-20 against the spread (ATS) this season due to its depth and talent and it’s better at home as well with an 8-12 record at AT&T Center.
The Suns are among the few teams in the top 10 of both offensive and defensive rating and are actually the lone team in the top six in both. The suns have the best record in the NBA, and at 23-19 ATS are among the 13 teams that cover at over a 50% rate.
Suns at Spurs odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:55 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Suns -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Spurs +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
- Against the spread (ATS): Suns -4.5 (-110) | Spurs +4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Suns at Spurs key injuries
Suns (not officially submitted)
- C Deandre Ayton (ankle) questionable
- F Cameron Johnson (ankle) questionable
- C Frank Kaminsky (knee) out
Spurs
- None
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Suns at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Suns 112, Spurs 110
Money line
PASS on the money line. I’d rather take the Spurs plus the points here, especially considering the Suns are 16-4 on the road.
Against the spread
BET to the SPURS +4.5 (-110).
The Spurs match up well with most teams given their depth and size.
They’ve yet to get over the hump because they don’t have that high-profile, Devin Booker-like star, but they match up well with Phoenix. The Suns force turnovers at the eighth-highest rate.
The Spurs rank fourth in turnover rate, so they don’t turn the ball over much. Also, the Suns are the sixth-most efficient team from the free-throw line, and the Spurs rank in the top ten in opponents’ free-throw rate.
Overall, I’d give a few slight, important edges to San Antonio. We’re seeing reverse-line movement as the Suns getting more of the money, per pregame.com, yet the line has actually gone down from the -5 opener.
Over/Under
“LEAN” to the UNDER 226.5 (-108).
The Spurs like to get out in transition and run, ranking fourth in pace, but the Suns have the length and defensive aptitude to slow them down. Phoenix has the second-ranked defense in the NBA.
Both teams are 5-5 O/U in their last 10.
I’d just do a small unit on UNDER 226.5 (-108) with the preferred bet of the Spurs plus the points.
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