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The Phoenix Suns (9-4) visit to the Minnesota Timberwolves (7-6) Sunday. Tip-off from Target Center is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Suns vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Phoenix won 3-0 last season
Phoenix lost 99-83 to the Oklahoma City Thunder Friday while failing to cover as a 7.5-point underdog. The Suns’ offense was abysmal without superstar F Kevin Durant as Phoenix was held to just 29.3% shooting from the field and 24.3% shooting from 3-point range. G Devin Booker failed to step up in the loss, shooting 2-of-10 from the field while finishing with just 12 points and a -29 in the +/-.
Minnesota escaped with a 130-126 OT win over the Sacramento Kings Friday while covering as a 1.5-point favorite. G Anthony Edwards and F Julius Randle combined for 62 points, just enough to outshine Sacramento G De’Aaron Fox and his historic 60-point night. The win ended a 3-game skid for the T-wolves.
Suns at Timberwolves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 1:54 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Suns +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Timberwolves -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Suns +7.5 (-115) | Timberwolves -7.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Suns at Timberwolves key injuries
Suns
- G Grayson Allen (hamstring) probable
- G Bradley Beal (calf) out
- F Kevin Durant (calf) out
- C Jusuf Nurkic (ankle) probable
Timberwolves
- None
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Suns at Timberwolves picks and predictions
Prediction
Timberwolves 115, Suns 107
Moneyline
PASS.
Injuries have dismantled this Phoenix team and makes picking the Timberwolves to cover as -275 favorites an easy decision, but Minnesota is favored far too heavily favored to risk betting on. Despite Phoenix’s injuries, the risk here is not worth the reward, so pass here and bet on the spread and/or totlal instead.
Against the spread
BET TIMBERWOLVES -7.5 (-110).
Minnesota has covered the spread in 4 of its last 7 games. Phoenix is 1-3 ATS in its last 4 games, 3-7 ATS in its last 10 and 4-9 ATS for the season.
With Phoenix’s vast array of injuries, Minnesota covering here is a solid bet. Be aware that Minnesota is only 5-8 ATS this season.
Also be weary of the possibility that the positional matchup against Edwards combined with his terrible performance vs. OKC could motivate Booker enough for the Suns to keep this game close.
Over/Under
BET OVER 220.5 (-110).
The Over is 2-1 in Minnesota’s last 3 overall and is 3-1 in the Suns’ last 4. The Over is also 8-5 for both teams this season.
The Over has hit in back-to-back matchups between these squads and is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Be aware that this bet is slightly risky as both teams are mediocre offensively and as Phoenix’s injuries are hurting its offensive firepower.
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