Philadelphia Stars at Birmingham Stallions odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Stars at Birmingham Stallions odds and lines, with expert USFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Stars (4-3) face the Birmingham Stallions (5-2) Saturday in a Week 8 USFL game at Protective Stadium in Birmingham, Ala. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (NBC/Peacock). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Stars vs. Stallions odds, and make our expert USFL picks, predictions and bets.

It has been a roller coaster ride for the Stars this season, winning an impressive opening game on the road in Memphis, then losing and failing to cover the next 3 outings. However, Philly has righted the ship and has picked up 3 straight wins, including a 37-31 victory in Canton against the Pittsburgh Maulers last weekend.

The Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 outings for Philadelphia, and its defense has been a reason the team is barely over .500. The Stars have allowed 21 or more points in 6 of the past 7 contests.

The Stallions picked up a 24-20 win against the New Orleans Breakers last weekend in Birmingham and have won and covered the past 2 games since a 27-20 home setback against the Houston Gamblers in Week 5.

The defense has been fantastic for Birmingham lately, allowing just 16.5 points per game (PPG) across the past 2 weeks, and it has helped the Under cash in back-to-back games after 3 consecutive Over outings.

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Stars at Stallions odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Stars +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Stallions -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Stars +6 (-110) | Stallions -6 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Stars at Stallions key injuries

Stars

  • None

Stallions

  • CB Donnie Lewis (hand, leg) out
  • DE Jordan Thompson (hamstring) questionable

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Stars at Stallions picks and predictions

Prediction

Stallions 27, Stars 23

Moneyline

Birmingham (-225) will cost you over 2 times your potential return, and that’s risky, even at home. The Stallions have won the past 2 outings while scoring 24 or more points in 6 of 7 games overall.

Philadelphia (+180) has been playing well lately, winning and covering in 3 straight neutral-site games. However, playing at Protective Stadium will be too much and will tip the scales in favor of the home side.

PASS.

Against the spread

PHILADELPHIA +6 (-110) is worth a look, as the Stars have the offense to hang with Birmingham. We saw that evidenced by last weekend’s season-high 37 points against Pittsburgh.

The Stallions’ offense has been consistent, going for 24 or more points in 6 of 7 games overall, and there is very little chance Birmingham isn’t able to get it done against a very giving Philly defense. Still, the Stars can keep it within 6.

Over/Under

The OVER 45.5 (-110) is a good play here as both of these defenses have had issues.

The Under has cashed in 2 straight for Birmingham but the Stallions have scored 20 or more points in all 7 games, including 28.8 PPG in 5 outings at Protective Stadium.

The Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 outings for the Stars, as Philly has scored 23.3 and allowed 25.8 PPG in over that span. Look for a high-scoring affair in Week 8.

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