The New York Yankees (7-1) host the Philadelphia Phillies (1-2) Monday at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 p.m. ET to kick off a four-game home-and-home interleague series. We analyze the Yankees-Phillies MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Phillies at Yankees: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Jake Arrieta vs. RHP Gerrit Cole
Arrieta is finally scheduled to take the ball from his skipper Joe Girardi for the first time this season after the team gets back on track following a week off due to concerns associated with the Miami Marlins’ COVID-19 outbreak last weekend.
- Arrieta posted an 8-8 record, 4.64 ERA and 110 strikeouts over 135 2/3 innings across 24 starts in 2019.
- Arrieta hasn’t faced the Yankees since June 26, 2018, when he allowed six runs – three earned – and nine hits over five innings in a 6-0 loss.
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Cole has been everything as advertised after signing a lucrative free-agent contract in the offseason, going 2-0 with a 3.09 ERA, 0.686 WHIP and 12 strikeouts across 11 2/3 innings in two starts to date.
- This will officially be Cole’s first home start for the Yankees, although, of course, no fans will be in attendance.
- Cole last faced the Phillies on July 5, 2017, allowing two earned runs, seven hits and a walk with eight strikeouts over six innings in a win as a member of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
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Phillies at Yankees: Key injuries
(List of injuries around the league)
Phillies
- SP Zach Eflin (back) doubtful
Yankees
- RP Aroldis Chapman (COVID-19) out
Phillies at Yankees: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Yankees 8, Phillies 3
Moneyline (ML)
The Yankees (-303) are overwhelming favorites against the Phillies, who have been sidelined for the past week. You cannot justify risking more than three times your potential return, so AVOID. You also cannot justify picking the Phillies (+260), who have had just two workouts in the past seven days and are likely to have considerable rust.
New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on the Yankees (-334) would return a profit of just $3.30.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The YANKEES (-2.5, +100) are a better value on the run line, where they’ll need to win by at least 3 runs. The Yanks are red-hot lately, especially OF Aaron Judge, who has belted homers in five consecutive contests. Now he gets to face a pitcher who hasn’t pitched this season.
All rise for a win by at least 3 runs for the home team.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 9 (-115) is a good play. In fact, the way the Yankees have been rolling along, they could take care of the Over by themselves. The Yankees have averaged 7.2 runs per game across the past five. The big concern here is the Phillies, who will have to contribute something. That’s a tall order against an ace like Cole.
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