The Philadelphia Phillies (23-22) and Miami Marlins (23-21) close out a wraparound series at Marlins Park with a Monday matinee at 4:10 p.m. ET. We analyze the Phillies-Marlins MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Phillies at Marlins: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Vincent Velasquez vs. RHP Pablo Lopez
Velasquez owns a 5.85 ERA over four starts and a pair of relief appearances.
- Current Miami batters own an 1.135 OPS and .320 ISO against him.
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Lopez has logged a 4.50 ERA and 1.38 WHIP through eight starts.
- He is coming off a rough start in his last and has allowed 12 ER over his last 5.2 IP. But Lopez excels in limiting hard-hit contact, and he’s been undone thus far by a .331 BABIP.
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Phillies at Marlins: Key injuries
(List of injuries around the league)
Phillies
- C J.T. Realmuto (hip) questionable
- OF Jay Bruce (quadriceps) out
- 2B/OF Scott Kingery (back) out
- OF Roman Quinn (concussion) out
Marlins
- SS Jon Berti (finger) out
- C Francisco Cervelli (concussion) out
- 3B Logan Forsythe (oblique) out
- OF Magneuris Sierra (hamstring) out
Phillies at Marlins: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML)
Both bullpens are bottom-10 units. But Lopez has more ability to get past the midpoint of most starts; that gives the Marlins more time to avoid those trouble relief innings. Philadelphia’s offense is better than Miami’s, but the Marlins do have big numbers against Velasquez and the Miami offense has been better of late than people would expect (.775 OPS last 14G).
A MARLINS -129 play has some value.
New to sports betting? A winning $12.90 bet on Miami would return a profit of $10.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Miami is up seven units on the run line with a 27-17 mark. Monday’s tag makes for a solid play. Take the MARLINS -1.5 (+155). Leverage the starter advantage on a get-away day.
Over/Under (O/U)
With these bullpens, the total draws a layoff on this number. Avoid the OVER 8.5 (-115)/UNDER 8.5 (-106).
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