The Philadelphia Phillies (9-9) and Boston Red Sox (6-18) wrap up their two-game interleague series Wednesday at Fenway Park with a 1:35 p.m. ET first pitch. We analyze the Phillies-Red Sox MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Phillies at Red Sox: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Jake Arrieta vs. LHP Kyle Hart
Arrieta heads into this one with a 1-2 record, 4.02 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 14 strikeouts across his first three starts.
- Arrieta has posted an 0-1 record and 6.52 ERA in two starts against American League East opponents so far, and he dropped his only start on the road against the New York Yankees on Aug. 3, allowing three earned runs, seven hits and two homers in five innings.
- Arrieta is 2-1 with a 3.38 ERA, eight walks and 24 strikeouts over 24 innings in his past four starts against the Red Sox.
Hart was humbled in his first Major League start, coughing up seven runs – five earned – and seven hits with three walks and four strikeouts over just two innings last Thursday in a loss against the Tampa Bay Rays.
- Hart threw just 44 of his 73 pitches for strikes in his two-inning start, including first-pitch strikes to just nine of the 17 batters he faced.
Phillies at Red Sox: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Phillies
- RP Seranthony Dominguez (elbow) out
- OF Adam Haseley (wrist) out
- SS Jean Segura (hamstring) questionable
Red Sox
- 3B Christian Arroyo (personal) out
- OF Andrew Benintendi (ribs) out
- OF Jackie Bradley Jr. (wrist) questionable
- 2B Dustin Pedroia (knee) out
- C Christian Vazquez (foot) questionable
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Phillies at Red Sox: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Phillies 11, Red Sox 5
Moneyline (ML)
The PHILLIES (-139) tuned up the Red Sox (+125) by a 13-6 count in Tuesday’s battle, highlighted by a seven-run top of the sixth. Philadelphia has won four games in a row, and is 6-2 in its previous eight against left-handed starting pitchers. In addition, the Phils have picked up four straight wins in Fenway Park.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Philadelphia will net a $7.19 profit if it wins, while a winning $10 wager on Boston will return a profit of $12.50.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The PHILLIES (-1.5, +100) aren’t a bad play at even money, working against a rookie making just his second-career start. The Phils have scored six or more runs in each of their past four, and that streak isn’t going to come to an end against the Red Sox (+1.5, -121) Wednesday.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 11 (-110) is super risky, as that’s a rather high number at a ball park not named Citizens Bank Park or Coors Field. However, the Phillies are averaging 7.8 runs per game across the past eight outings, and the Red Sox have yielded eight or more runs in seven of the past nine while averaging a respectable 4.6 runs per game across the past 10. We’ll have another high-scoring battle Wednesday afternoon.
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