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The Philadelphia Flyers (17-18-4) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (25-13-2) meet Sunday at Scotiabank Arena in the first game of a back-to-back series. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Flyers vs. Maple Leafs odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: First meeting; Maple Leafs won 2-1 in 3 meetings in 2023-24
The Flyers were topped 5-2 by the Vegas Golden Knights on the road Thursday as the Over (6.5) just came in. The Fly Guys are just 3-6-0 in the past 9 games, while the Over has a 6-2 edge in the previous 8 outings. At home, Philly is just 2-3-0 in the past 5 tries, with the Over going 3-1-1.
The Leafs stopped the Boston Bruins 6-4 on Saturday, and now they play on no rest. Toronto is 1-3-0 in the past 4 games when playing on no rest. The Over is on an 8-2 run in the past 10 games, while the Leafs have won 3 in a row.
The teams will meet again on Tuesday in Philadelphia.
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Flyers at Maple Leafs odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated at 7:19 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Flyers +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Maple Leafs -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Flyers +1.5 (-155) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Flyers at Maple Leafs projected goalies
Aleksei Kolosov (4-8-1, 3.45 GAA, .870% SV) vs. Dennis Hildeby (2-1-0, 2.68 GAA, .875 SV%)
Kolosov is expected to get the nod. He allowed 4 goals on 26 shots in a loss in Vegas on Thursday. The rookie has the worst save percentage among qualified goaltenders in the NHL. He has allowed 4 or more goals in 4 of his past 5 starts since Dec. 7.
Hildeby is serving as the primary backup to Joseph Woll with Anthony Stolarz sidelined. Hildeby allowed 3 goals on 27 shots in a win over the Buffalo Sabres in his most recent start Dec. 15.
Flyers at Maple Leafs picks and predictions
Prediction
Maple Leafs 5, Flyers 3
The MAPLE LEAFS (-175) are a little on the expensive side, but not more than my personal limit for a standalone wager.
Toronto has won 8 of the past 9 games against the Flyers (+145), although Philadelphia did win the most recent matchup on March 19, 2024, at Wells Fargo Center.
There is risk, as the Leafs use Hildeby in between the pipes, but Toronto has won the last 3 games, while going 7-3-0 in the past 10 outings.
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Puck line/Against the spread
The MAPLE LEAFS -1.5 (+125) are worth a roll of the dice, even with the backup tendy in between the pipes, mainly because Kolosov has been so giving for the Flyers +1.5 (-155).
Toronto has won by 2 or more goals in 6 of the past 7 victories since Dec. 15. So, if you like the Leafs to win, you should also like them to win by at least 2 goals.
Over/Under
OVER 6.5 (-110) is a strong play in a goaltender battle between Kolosov and Hildeby.
The Over is on an 8-2-0 roll for the Maple Leafs in the past 10 outings, and the total has gone high in the past 2 starts by Hildeby.
For the Flyers, the total has gone high in 6 of the past 8 games, while going 9-4-1 in the past 14 outings.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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