Philadelphia 76ers at Toronto Raptors odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Toronto Raptors and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia 76ers (17-16) travel Tuesday for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off with the Toronto Raptors (14-16) at Scotiabank Arena. Below, we look at the 76ers vs. Raptors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Philly has alternated between winning and losing over the past four games with the most recent being a 117-96 beatdown of the Wizards in Washington as 4-point road underdogs Sunday.

Over the past two weeks, the Sixers are 2-4 straight-up (SU), 2-4 ATS and 3-3 O/U with the 20th-ranked non-garbage time net rating (minus-3.9 points per 100 possessions), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Toronto got destroyed 144-99 as 9-point road underdogs by the Cleveland Cavaliers Sunday, snapping a four-game ATS winning streak.

In the last 14 days, the Raptors are 2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS and 4-0 O/U with the 12th-best non-garbage time net rating (plus-3.7 points per 100 possessions), per CTG. Several Toronto games have been canceled recently due to COVID.

The Raptors upset a Joel Embiid-less Sixers squad 115-109 as 4-point road underdogs Nov. 11, and the Over cashed on a 211.5-point total.

76ers at Raptors odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: 76ers -280 (bet $280 to win $100) | Raptors +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
  • Against the spread (ATS): 76ers -6.5 (-110) | Raptors +6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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76ers at Raptors key injuries

76ers

  • SG Danny Green (health and safety protocols) out
  • PG Shake Milton (health and safety protocols) out
  • Andre Drummond (health and safety protocols) out

Raptors

  • SF Pascal Siakam (reconditioning) questionable
  • SG Gary Trent (reconditioning) questionable
  • Khem Birch (reconditioning) questionable
  • SG Fred VanVleet (health and safety protocols) out
  • SF OG Anunoby (health and safety protocols) out
  • SF Scottie Barnes (health and safety protocols) out

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76ers at Raptors odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

76ers 115, Raptors 109

Money line

PASS because the absence of Raptors guard Fred VanVleet is too big of a factor for me in this one.

According to CTG, VanVleet grades in the 100th percentile of point guards in on/off net rating (plus-23.1 points per 100 possessions).

On top of that, Toronto could still be without its two leading rebounders in Barnes and Achiuwa, both of which also have positive on/off net ratings.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the RAPTORS +6.5 (-110) because the Sixers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games following a win. Furthermore, Toronto’s style matches up well vs. Philly.

For instance, the Raptors like to get out in transition and crash the glass: Toronto ranks third in second-chance points per game and first in fastbreak points per game. On the other hand, the Sixers give up the fourth-most second-chance points and the second-most fastbreak points per game.

Also, Toronto has done a good job defending Embiid since hiring head coach Nick Nurse in 2018-19. For his career, Embiid averages just 19.6 points per game vs. the Raptors (24.9 PPG career-average) on 40.9% shooting (28.3% from three) with a minus-6 net rating.

However, I can only “LEAN” to the RAPTORS +6.5 (-110) because of the plethora of COVID-related absences and Toronto losing by 45 points its last outing when playing under similar conditions.

Over/Under

BET the OVER 213.5 (-112) because I envision Toronto crashing the glass and pushing the tempo more so in this game since those are weaknesses for Philly.

But, I don’t see how the Raptors stop the Sixers on the other end of the floor. Also, Toronto has gone Over the total in four straight games and the Over is 5-0-2 in Philly’s last seven games as a road favorite.

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