The Dallas Mavericks (29-23) host the Philadelphia 76ers (31-20) Friday at American Airlines Center for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the 76ers vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Philly had a 5-game winning streak snapped Tuesday in a 106-103 upset at home versus the Washington Wizards as a 9.5-point favorite. The Sixers are 5-2 straight up (SU) but just 3-4 against the spread (ATS) over their last two weeks.
Dallas lost back-to-back games at the Orlando Magic (110-108 Sunday) and to the Oklahoma City Thunder (120-114 in overtime Wednesday). The Mavs are 3-3 SU/ATS since Jan. 23.
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76ers at Mavericks odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:13 p.m. ET.
- Money line: 76ers +100 (bet $100 to win $102) | Mavericks -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Against the spread: 76ers +1.5 (-110) | Mavericks -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 210.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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76ers at Mavericks key injuries
76ers
- SG Seth Curry (knee) questionable
- SG Furkan Korkmaz (knee) out
Mavericks
- C Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out
- SF Tim Hardaway Jr. (foot) out
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76ers at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
76ers 107, Mavericks 101
Money line
PASS with a heavy “lean” toward the 76ers (+100) only because I prefer Philly getting 1.5 points. Obviously, I don’t hate betting the Sixers outright, I just always take the points as a rule.
Against the spread
BET 76ERS +1.5 (-110) for 1 unit.
Both teams run a lot of half-court offense, but Philly has better offensive and defensive points per play in half-court sets, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.
Both teams occupy the same space on the floor, but the Sixers are far more efficient. Each attempts a top-10 volume of mid-range field goals, but Philly has the best defensive field-goal percentage versus mid-range shots.
On top of that, Dallas failed to score 100 points in both 76ers-Mavericks meetings last season and Philly has done a terrific job defending Dallas PG Luka Doncic throughout his career.
In four career games against the Sixers, Luka is averaging 21.0 points on just 51.7% true shooting (.375/.292/.744) with a minus-7 net rating. In fact, Philly is 3-0 SU versus Dallas in meetings between its big in C Joel Embiid and Doncic.
Plus, this is a better spot for the Sixers, who are an NBA-best 9-4 ATS as road underdogs with a plus-3.3 ATS margin.
Finally, since the oddsmakers are projecting a single-possession affair, this would be a game to fade Dallas, which is 9-14 SU in “clutch” situations with the worst net rating in the NBA (minus-34.5). “Clutch” is defined by a game within a 5-point margin with five minutes remaining.
BET 76ERS +1.5 (-110) for 1 unit.
Over/Under
LEAN to the UNDER 210.5 (-115) since there’s notable “reverse line movement” heading south of the total and a couple of location-based O/U trends for each team.
According to Pregame.com and the Yahoo! Sports app, a vast majority of the action is on the Over, but the total has been lowered from the 212.5-point opening number.
Lastly, the Sixers are 3-10 O/U as road underdogs with a minus-7.9 total margin, and the Mavs are 4-13-1 O/U as home favorites with a minus-3.6 total margin.
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