The Philadelphia 76ers (36-17) stop by American Airlines Center Monday for a 7:30 p.m. ET game with the host Dallas Mavericks (29-23). Below, we analyze the 76ers-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
Philadelphia has alternated between winning and losing over the last five games with the latest being a 117-93 blowout victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder Saturday. The Sixers are 4-3 straight up and 3-4 against the spread in the past two weeks.
Dallas has also been inconsistent lately, losing two of its last three games, including a 119-117 loss to the San Antonio Spurs Sunday as a 6-point home favorite. Over the past two weeks, the Mavs are 6-2 straight up and ATS with a victory over the first-place Utah Jazz last Monday.
The Sixers broke a three-game losing skid to the Mavs earlier this season by routing them 111-97 Feb. 25, but Dallas was without starting PF Kristaps Porzingis. Also, the Mavs covered the spread in five straight head-to-head matchups prior to the February loss.
76ers at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:20 p.m. ET.
- Money line: 76ers -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Mavericks +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread/ATS: 76ers -3 (-110) | Mavericks +3 (-110)
- Over/Under: 218.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
76ers at Mavericks: Key injuries
76ers
- PG George Hill (thumb) out
Mavericks
- PF Maxi Kleber (leg) probable
- SG J.J. Redick (heel) questionable
- PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) questionable
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76ers at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
76ers 114, Mavericks 108
Money line (ML)
PASS with a slight “lean” toward the 76ers (-150) but it’s a little out of my price range for an NBA regular-season money line favorite.
As always, wait until as close to tip-off as possible for any important injury news, but as long as Sixers All-Stars Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid play then Philly is the right side.
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Against the spread (ATS)
Simmons has done a masterful job defending Mavs All-Star PG Luka Doncic when they’ve faced each other.
Doncic is averaging just 17.3 points per game on .318/.294/.679 shooting with 6.7 assists and 4.0 turnovers per game in his three career meetings vs. Simmons.
Also, Embiid has significantly outplayed Porzingis in their three meetings; Embiid averages 9.3 more points per game, 6.7 more rebounds per game and is holding Porzingis to 39.6% shooting (28.6% from three).
Finally, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, Dallas is 8-10 overall with minus-2.9 points per 100 possessions and a minus-2.4-point ATS margin vs. top-10 teams in net efficiency.
BET 76ERS -3 (-110) for 1 unit.
Over/Under (O/U)
Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 218.5 (-115) for a quarter-unit because the total has been steamed down from the 225.5-point opener due to all the action on the Under.
That’s too much line movement to not fade regardless of what the recent trends say.
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