The Michigan State Spartans (16-6) host the Penn State Nittany Lions (16-5) for a Big Ten conference game in the Breslin Center Tuesday at 8:00 p.m. ET. We analyze the Penn State-Michigan State odds and betting lines, with college basketball betting advice and tips around this matchup.
Penn State at Michigan State: Three things you need to know
- The recruited talent discrepancy is eye-popping: Michigan State has nine RSCI Top-100 recruits on their roster, while Penn State has none.
- Penn State has won four straight games, including three by double-digits, and their current No. 22 AP ranking is Penn State’s highest since 1995-96.
- Michigan State has been inconsistent recently—going 3-3 over its past six games with a 64-63 loss to Wisconsin on February 1. However, Michigan State is still tied will Illinois atop the Big Ten with an 8-3 conference record.
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Penn State at Michigan State: Odds, betting lines and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Michigan State 74, Penn State 63
Moneyline (ML)
Michigan State has played much better than Penn State against conference foes. The Spartans have a 8.8 margin of victory compared to the Nittany Lions’ .2 margin of victory against Big Ten teams. Plus the Nittany Lions are 0-6 at Michigan State with five double-digit losses since 2011.
But, the money line is both too chalky to warrant a wager on Michigan State’s (-400) side and too much of a gamble for Penn State (+310) given their slim chances of pulling off an upset at the Spartans’ home.
PASS on the moneyline in Penn State-Michigan State.
Against the Spread (ATS)
There are plenty of trendy reasons to BET MICHIGAN STATE -8.5 (-110) in this spot. The Spartans have exceeded bookmakers’ expectations at home so far this year: Michigan State is 9-2 ATS at home and 6-2 ATS against teams above .500. Also, Michigan State is 2-0 ATS when laying 7-9.5 points and Penn State is 0-1 ATS when getting 7-9.5 points.
Additionally, the matchup edge heavily favors the Spartans. Michigan State is third in the country in opponent’s 3-point percentage and ninth in rebounds per game. Conversely, Penn State is ranked 250th in 3-point percentage and 275th in opponent’s rebounds per game. The Spartans will force the Nittany Lions into tough shots and clean the glass once they miss those shots.
Over/Under (O/U)
TAKE UNDER 143.5 (-104) in Penn State-Michigan State. Both teams have played in games recently that’s went under bookmakers’ projections. The Spartans’ Over/Under record is 0-6-1 in their last seven games overall and the last three Nittany Lions games have went under as well. Also, the under has cashed in three of the last four Penn State-Michigan State games.
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