Looking forward to the 2020 NFL season, it’s time to start breaking down how individual players will do statistically. Below, we focus on Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers’ projected passing numbers and how they match up against future odds at BetMGM sportsbook.
Aaron Rodgers’ stats history
Rodgers is a two-time MVP winner for his incredible seasons in 2011 and 2014. In those two seasons combined, he threw 83 touchdowns against just 11 interceptions. Rodgers has always had an excellent touchdown-to-interception ratio, but it appears his conservations could now be hurting him.
Over the last five years, Rodgers has thrown just 27 interceptions to 138 touchdowns. While that ratio is incredible, his yards per attempt has dropped down to just 7.0, which is very mediocre by his standards. He has become too conservative and it has cut down his yardage total as a whole. It’s also worth noting Rodgers hasn’t thrown for 4,500 yards or more since the 2011 season and he has never surpassed 4,700 yards in a season.
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Aaron Rodgers’ projected stats and odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Saturday, April 25 at 10:30 am ET.
Passing Yards: 4,099.5 / OVER: -110 / UNDER: -110
The only passing total currently on the board for Rodgers is the passing yardage total, which is set at 4,099.5. Rodgers finished the 2019 campaign with 4,002 yards while starting all 16 games. In 2018, he threw for 4,442 yards under ex-head coach Mike McCarthy.
With the Packers selecting running back A.J. Dillon in the second round and ignoring the receiver position during the first two days as a whole, you have to wonder if Green Bay plans on running the ball more during Rodgers’ final few seasons with the Packers. He will turn 37 in early December and it appears he is only becoming more conservative as he ages.
The safe bet here is the UNDER, especially when you consider his age and how Green Bay wants to play on offense. There is also the looming question of why the Packers took QB Jordan Love in the first round. Will they try to get him on the field some as a rookie, maybe later in games? That could certainly impact Rodgers’ passing yardage total.
Rodgers is still one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL, but he’s no longer a high-volume passer. Instead, look for him to try to be efficient on 35 or 36 attempts per game.
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