The Ole Miss Rebels (4-5) and Indiana Hoosiers (6-1) meet in the Outback Bowl Saturday at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla. Kickoff is slated for 12:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Ole Miss-Indiana college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Indiana is ranked No. 8 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Ole Miss vs. Indiana: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Ole Miss +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Indiana -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Ole Miss +9 (-110) | Indiana -9 (-110)
- Over/Under: 65.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Ole Miss vs. Indiana: Three things to know
- Featuring a 4-5 record, it’s a sad statement about this “COVID-19” season that Ole Miss is even playing in a bowl game, let alone a Jan. 2 contest. Following a 1-4 start, the Rebels won three of their last four games. They lost at LSU 53-48 Dec. 19 after winning at Vanderbilt 54-21 Oct. 31, vs. South Carolina 59-42 at home Nov. 14 and vs. Mississippi State 31-24 at home Nov. 28 in the annual Egg Bowl. QB Matt Corral threw for 2,995 with 27 touchdowns against 14 interceptions this season, while RB Jerrion Ealy ran for 745 yards with 9 TDs. WR Elijah Moore added 1,193 receiving yards with 8 scores.
- Under head coach Tom Allen, Indiana is one of the feel-good stories of the college football season – especially for bettors who backed the Hoosiers, who are 7-0 ATS. Indiana recorded its second consecutive winning season after 11 seasons in a row under-.500. Unfortunately for IU, starting QB Michael Penix Jr. (1,645 passing yards, 14 TDs) suffered a season-ending ACL injury in its sixth game. Redshirt sophomore QB Jack Tuttle made his first start in their next game as the Hoosiers upset then-No. 16 Wisconsin in Madison Dec. 5. For the season, RB Stevie Scott III rushed for 462 yards with 8 TDs, and WR Ty Fryfogle had 687 receiving yards and 7 TDs. IU hasn’t played since the Wisconsin game due to COVID-19 issues.
- This is the first meeting between the two programs. Ole Miss’ last bowl appearance was the 2016 Sugar Bowl when it cruised past Oklahoma State 48-20. Indiana is on an 0-5 bowl losing streak dating back to 1993. IU dropped a heartbreaker to Tennessee in last season’s Gator Bowl 23-22. The Hoosiers led 22-9 with 7:06 to go, but the Vols scored 2 touchdowns within 30 seconds – with the help of a successful onside kick – to grab the lead for good at the 3:51 mark.
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Ole Miss vs. Indiana: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Indiana 42, Ole Miss 23
Money line (ML)
PASS. Look for Indiana to pull away in the second half. However, the -350 price offers no value and is not wise sports gambling.
Against the spread (ATS)
INDIANA -9.5 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. An inside source at IU told me he’s worried about Ole Miss’ speed. I say, “speed, schmeed.”
Coach Allen’s Hoosiers want to show the selection committee they belonged in a bigger/better bowl. Indiana is the better team and features an exceptional defense, which leads the country with 17 interceptions – led by 4 apiece by junior DBs Jamar Johnson and Jaylin Williams.
The Hoosiers defense ranks 19th in points allowed at 19.4 PPG. The Rebels defense is on the other end of the spectrum, yielding 40.3 PPG to rank 122nd.
Such a mismatch points to INDIANA -9 (-110) notching the program’s first bowl victory since 1991.
ATS records: Ole Miss 4-5 | Indiana 7-0
Over/Under (O/U)
AVOID. The 65.5 line is right where it should be. Some wonder if Allen will run up the score to make a point as IU feels disrespected and screwed over in the bowl-selection process. I believe he has too much class to do so.
O/U records: Ole Miss 6-3 | Indiana 4-3
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| Johnny’s 2020 CFB record / Strongest plays | 17-16 / 9-6 |
| 2020 overall record (all sports) | 178-147-4 |
| Strongest plays (all sports) | 87-61-1 |
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