The Orlando Guardians (1-8) and the St. Louis Battlehawks (6-3) meet Saturday in a regular-season finale in Week 10. Kickoff from The Dome at America’s Center is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Battlehawks odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.
The Guardians suffered a disappointing 25-23 setback at the San Antonio Brahmas in Week 9. Orlando pushed as a 2-point underdog and is 3-1-1 against the spread (ATS) in its past 5 games. The Guardians are on a 5-1 Over run in their last 6 contests — their Week 9 O/U line was 38.5.
The Battlehawks were bounced at home 30-12 last week by the Seattle Sea Dragons in a very disappointing result. The 12 points were a season low for St. Louis, while the 30 points were the 2nd-most it allowed this year. The Under is on a 4-0 run for the Battlehawks.
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Guardians at Battlehawks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:29 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Guardians +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Battlehawks -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Guardians +9 (-110) | Battlehawks -9 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 48 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Guardians at Battlehawks key injuries
Guardians
- TE Logan Carter (quadriceps) out
Battlehawks
- S Jonathan Alexander (shoulder) questionable
- DB Chris Cooper (hamstring) questionable
- RB Mataeo Durant (concussion) questionable
- DB Tim Harris (groin) questionable
- LB Silas Kelly (concussion) out
- DB Nate Meadors (ankle) out
- LB Mike Rose (ankle) out
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Guardians at Battlehawks picks and predictions
Prediction
Battlehawks 30, Guardians 19
Moneyline
The Battlehawks (-400) are fighting for a playoff position, while the Guardians (+300) are eliminated from the postseason chase. Still, while St. Louis is expected to win, you cannot risk 4 times your potential return.
Remember, this is an Orlando side with just 1 win, but it came against the North Division champ DC Defenders in Week 7.
AVOID.
Against the spread
ST. LOUIS -9 (-110) will be going all out as it is fighting with Seattle for the 2nd playoff spot in the North Division. The two are tied at 6-3 and they split their 2 regular-season contests.
If both lose this weekend, St. Louis wins the tiebreaker based on a better division record.
If they both win, it’s a little more complicated and will likely come down to the 3rd tiebreaker (strength of victory in all games – combined record of opponents in win) or the 4th tiebreaker (best combined ranking among division teams in points scored and points allowed in all games).
Both are playing eliminated teams in this final week. Seattle hosts the Vegas Vipers (2-7) Sunday at 7 p.m. ET.
The Battlehawks won’t want to take any chances and likely will be pass-happy right out of the chute against a Guardians defense that has allowed 25 or more points in 7 of its 9 games
St. Louis has failed to cover each of the past 2 outings, and it is just 1-3 ATS in 4 home games this season. However, with a playoff spot on the line, look for the Battlehawks to take care of business.
Over/Under
OVER 48 (-110) is the lean.
There is very little concern that the Battlehawks will be able to score. The question is: Will the Guardians be able to hang?
St. Louis was toasted for 30 points last week by a solid Seattle offense, but prior to that, the Battlehawks had allowed just 12.7 points per game in the previous 3 contests. The Under is on a 4-0 run for St. Louis, too, so be careful.
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