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The No. 9 Ole Miss Rebels (8-2, 4-2 SEC) meet the Florida Gators (5-5, 3-4) at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (ABC). Below, we look at Ole Miss vs. Florida odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Ole Miss secured its third straight win, defeating No. 8 Georgia 28-10 Nov. 9 in its biggest game of the season. The Rebels won outright as 2-point home underdogs, with the Under (55.5) hitting. While Ole Miss’ defense stole the show, forcing 3 turnovers, QB Jaxson Dart was 13-of-22 passing for 199 yards with a TD and an INT and rushed for 50 yards on 8 carries.
The Gators faced 3 ranked opponents in a row, including 2 in the top 10. After losing the first 2, they defeated the then-No. 22 LSU Tigers 27-16 as 3.5-point home underdogs Nov. 16 while the Under (57) hit. QB DJ Lagway and WR Elijhah Badger connected 6 times for 131 yards and a TD. RB Jadan Baugh averaged 10.8 yards per carry and scored a TD in the victory.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Ole Miss at Florida odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 11:19 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Ole Miss -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Florida +333 (bet $100 to win $333)
- Against the spread (ATS): Ole Miss -11.5 (-110) | Florida +11.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Ole Miss at Florida picks and predictions
Prediction
Ole Miss 31, Florida 21
Moneyline
PASS.
Ole Miss (-450) takes this game Saturday, but instead of laying more than 1:4, I’ll take my bet to the spread.
Against the spread
BET FLORIDA +11.5 (-110).
After a huge emotional win against Georgia, Ole Miss may face a letdown at Florida. The Rebels are on fire, with Dart playing at a high level, and they’ll exploit Florida’s vulnerability to the passing game.
However, the Gators, led by Lagway, have shown improvement and consistency on offense. While Ole Miss is likely to win, Florida’s strong play, especially at home, will keep the game close. Florida is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games and has covered the last 2 meetings.
The Rebels are 3-3 ATS in their last 6 games.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 55.5 (-110).
The Gators have exceeded 20 points just 3 times in 7 conference games this season.
Ole Miss has hit the Under in 8 of 10 games, while Florida sits at 3-3 O/U. Ole Miss boasts one of the nation’s top defenses, allowing under 13 points per game overall and under 18 against SEC teams.
Florida’s offense, with a freshman QB, has struggled to score against stronger defenses, and this should continue against Ole Miss. Only 1 of Ole Miss’ 6 conference games has gone over 55.5 this season.
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