The No. 21 Oklahoma State Cowboys (15-6, 8-5 Big XII) travel in-state to play No. 8 Oklahoma Sooners (14-6, 9-5) Saturday at the Lloyd Noble Center. The tip-off is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Oklahoma State-Oklahoma odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.
Rankings courtesy of Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Oklahoma State +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Oklahoma -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Oklahoma State +4.5 (-110) | Oklahoma -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 139.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma: Three things to know
- Oklahoma State has won three in a row and four of its last five games (3-2 ATS) including home wins over No. 17 Texas Tech (74-69 overtime win as 3.5-point underdogs Monday) and then-No. 6 Texas (75-67 overtime win as 2-point underdogs Feb. 6).
- The Sooners had their three-game winning streak snapped after losing at Kansas State 62-57 as 10.5-point road favorites Tuesday. However, Oklahoma has performed way better at home compared to on the road this season as the Sooners are 10-1 overall at home and 8-3 ATS.
- The Cowboys won and covered against the Sooners last season, 83-66, for the first time in four years. The favorites have four straight ATS wins in this series, and the home team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight Oklahoma State-Oklahoma meetings.
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Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Oklahoma 71, Oklahoma State 62
Money line (ML)
PASS because the Sooners are the pick here, but Oklahoma (-200) is too far out of my price range to bet a money line favorite in a conference matchup.
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Against the spread (ATS)
There are a few reasons I like OKLAHOMA -4.5 (-110) in this spot.
First, the Sooners have performed better against tougher competition—covering eight of nine games against ranked teams compared to Oklahoma State’s 5-2 ATS record against ranked teams—and in conference showdowns—Oklahoma is 9-5 ATS in Big XII games while Oklahoma State is 8-6 ATS.
Second, Oklahoma does a good job stopping what Oklahoma State does a lot of, which is shooting inside the arc and getting to the foul line. Oklahoma State is 67th in free-throw rate whereas Oklahoma is sixth in defensive free-throw-rate.
Also, the Cowboys attempt the most 2-pointers in the Big XII while the Sooners are 22nd in the nation in opponent’s 2-point field goal percentage.
BET OKLAHOMA -4.5 (-110) for 1 unit.
Over/Under (O/U)
Given that my prediction is Oklahoma wins and covers primarily because of defensive factors, I like UNDER 139.5 (-110) here. Furthermore, since the beginning of last season, Oklahoma is 9-17 O/U has a home team with a minus-6.4-point total margin and 12-19-1 O/U in conference games with a minus-3.5-point total margin.
TAKE UNDER 139.5 (-110) for a half-unit.
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