The Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-1) head into Norman to play the Oklahoma Sooners (5-2) Saturday. The kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Oklahoma State-Oklahoma college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The Cowboys are ranked 14th in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports and the Sooners are No. 17.
Oklahoma State at Oklahoma: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 1:15 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Oklahoma State +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Oklahoma -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Oklahoma State +7 (-110) | Oklahoma -7 (-110)
- Over/Under: 58.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)
Oklahoma State at Oklahoma: Three things to know
- Oklahoma State’s injury report includes its two leading rushers—RBs Chuba Hubbard, who led the nation in rushing yards last season, and L.D. Brown—and their leader in interceptions S Kolby Harvell-Peel.
- Following a slow start, Oklahoma’s run game has really hit its stride over recent weeks. The Sooners gained 200-plus yards on the ground in back-to-back weeks and had six rushing touchdowns in each of their previous two games against Texas Tech and Kansas.
- Oklahoma State has lost five consecutive games to Oklahoma, including a 34-16 loss last season in Stillwater, and is just 2-13 against the Sooners under head coach Mike Gundy.
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Oklahoma State at Oklahoma: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Oklahoma 33, Oklahoma State 24
Money line (ML)
Oklahoma (-250) is the right side but the only way this money line should be played (in my opinion) is in a parlay. That’s more of a personal preference; however, the Sooners’ implied win probability is 71.4% and they definitely beat Oklahoma State more than 70% of the time in this spot.
PASS for a cheaper price on the spread.
Against the spread (ATS)
The two factors I’m seeing that make me like OKLAHOMA -7 (-110) over Oklahoma State are the injury report and the Sooners’ edge in the battle of the trenches.
The Cowboys’ defense is considered one of the best in the nation but Oklahoma’s defensive line has been better and could exploit weaknesses in the Cowboys’ offensive line.
Oklahoma State averages just 3.9 yards per carry, the offensive line ranks 104th in line yards per carry and 111th in sack rate. The Cowboys are going against an Oklahoma rush defense allowing 3.5 yards per carry, a defensive line that is 12th in opponent’s line yards per carrying and ninth in stuff rate.
Second, if the Cowboys aren’t gaining yards on the ground they could be forced into obvious passing situations and Oklahoma has the nation’s second-highest sack rate on passing downs. Oklahoma State’s offensive line is ranked 117th in passing down sack rate.
GIMME OKLAHOMA -7 (-110) for 1 unit.
Over/Under (O/U)
I “LIKE” UNDER 58.5 (-106) for 1.5 units. Oklahoma State could be without a couple of key contributors on offense and should have trouble sustaining drives. The Cowboys are 71st in 3rd down conversion percentage and the Sooners are 19th in opponent’s 3rd down conversion percentage.
Oklahoma’s defense is trending up and both teams have struggled with turnovers at times this season. Oklahoma State is minus-four in the turnover differential this year and Oklahoma is minus-one.
Also, the Sooners’ rushing attack just started to come along but could definitely regress back to their earlier season production going against this top-10 Oklahoma State defense.
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