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The quarterback dominoes have yet to all fall, but signs as the start of the 2021 league year draws closer are at least leaning in the direction of Jimmy Garoppolo returning to San Francisco to be the starter next season. All of the logical offseason dots have connected back to that so far, and the odds on BetMGM reflect that likelihood.
The 49ers are far and away the favorites to be the team Garoppolo takes his next snap for. Here are the top seven via BetMGM:
49ers (-400)
Patriots (+450)
Vikings (+750)
Broncos (+800)
Bears (+800)
Colts (+1000)
Texans (+1100)
The gap between -400 and +450 is gargantuan. The -400 means a bettor would have to bet $40 to win $10. The +450 means a bettor would have bet $10 to win $45.
It’s not often books are wrong by this much, but the numbers track with the likelihood Garoppolo gets moved. The number of significant upgrades are slim, and it’s not been within San Francisco’s team-building philosophy to unload a ton of draft capital for one player.
One thing to watch with these odds though will be to see whether they change when more QB rumors start ramping up. For example, if the Texans leak that they’ll listen to offers for Deshaun Watson, and these odds simultaneously change, it could be a clue San Francisco is involved.
For now though, it looks like Garoppolo will be the starter next season. Unless something drastically changes in the QB market, that’ll continue to be the best bet.
[Gannett may earn revenue from audience referral to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.]