The quarterfinals of Euro 2020 start Friday, and they’ll be drastically different than expected. For starters, reigning World Cup champion France was knocked out in a penalty shootout loss to Switzerland as the biggest upset of the Round of 16. Below, we preview the Euro 2020 winner odds and lines and make our best Euro 2020 bets, picks and predictions.
Here’s the quarterfinals schedule for Friday and Saturday. Rankings are according to the FIFA World Rankings (note the rankings are international).
- No. 6 Spain vs. No. 13 Switzerland: Friday at noon ET
- No. 1 Belgium vs. No. 7 Italy: Friday at 3 p.m. ET
- No. 10 Denmark vs. No. 40 Czech Republic: Saturday at noon ET
- No. 4 England vs. No. 24 Ukraine: Saturday at 3 p.m. ET
The winners of each day will advance to play each other in the Euro 2020 semifinals. Those games are slated for July 6 and 7 with the final set for July 11.
Odds to win Euro 2020
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 7:45 a.m. ET.
England +200
Spain +300
Italy +400
Belgium +700
Denmark +1000
Switzerland +2500
Czech Republic +2500
Ukraine +3300
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Euro 2020 picks and predictions
Prediction
England (+200) will take on Italy (+400) in the final with England winning Euro 2020. If England advances, it’ll play the semifinal and final at Wembley Stadium in London.
Best value
Betting the favorite at this stage of the tournament isn’t an overly profitable endeavor. In this situation, I’d suggest making a couple of bets with the best value being BELGIUM (+700).
Belgium’s odds were second to England for most of the Group Stage; however, it drastically slid with MF Kevin De Bruyne and winger Eden Hazard questionable for the quarterfinal match.
Without its two best players, Belgium would be stretched thin. That said, this is the best value because both players are expected to return after the quarterfinal.
Given how poor even England has looked at times, getting Hazard and De Bruyne back would instantly make Belgium the tournament favorite. However, it’s not expected to get by Italy, making this premier value for the top team in the FIFA rankings.
SPAIN (+300) also presents good value after Switzerland beat France. The Swiss were destroyed 3-0 by Italy in the Group Stage and aren’t good enough to down sixth-ranked Spain. France had been playing poorly the entire tournament, despite a star-studded roster.
How to bet the Euro 2020 winner
The way I will be playing the Euro 2020 winner is simple: take ENGLAND (+200) and prepare to hedge the bet.
Most who follow the tournament should understand England’s pathway seems easy. It has Ukraine, who beat Sweden in a match neither team should’ve advanced from. Then, it’ll get the winner of Denmark and Czech Republic.
Either way, the home side should come out on top. With the final in London, England will have a home-pitch advantage in the two biggest games.
As we saw with Hungary getting two draws at home, the crowd helps. England will be the favorite in both of those, regardless of who it plays. Getting England at +200 gives you a chance for automatic money as just reaching the final allows for leverage.
The risk is England being upset by Ukraine, Demark or the Czech Republic. It’s a risk I’m willing to take.
Want some action in this one? Place a Euro 2020 bet with BetMGM today. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
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