The Oakland Raiders (6-5) visit Arrowhead Stadium Sunday for a Week 13 AFC West divisional clash with the Kansas City Chiefs (7-4). Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET. We analyze the Raiders-Chiefs odds and sports betting lines, while providing sports betting tips and advice on this matchup.
Raiders at Chiefs: Week 13 preview, betting trends and notes
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- The Chiefs beat the Raiders 28-10 in Oakland in Week 2. QB Patrick Mahomes completed 30 of 44 passes for 443 yards and four touchdowns. Raiders QB Derek Carr threw for 198 yards and one touchdown against two interceptions.
- Kansas City is coming off a Week 12 bye, while Oakland lost 34-3 at the New York Jets.
- The Raiders are 3-16 when throwing at least one interception since the start of the 2017 season. Carr has thrown six picks this season and the Chiefs have 10 defensive interceptions.
- The Oakland defense has allowed the highest rates of passes of 20 and 40 or more yards since the start of last season.
- The Chiefs are 14-1 when rushing for more than 100 yards as a team since the start of last season. The Raiders allow 104.3 rushing yards per game.
- KC has won the last four head-to-head meetings with three of the four being decided by double-digit margins.
Raiders at Chiefs: Key injuries
Raiders QR Hunter Renfrow (rib) suffered a punctured lung in Week 12 and will miss time.
Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill (hamstring) is expected to play. RB Damien Williams (ribs) is a little more questionable.
Raiders at Chiefs: Odds, betting lines and prediction
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 12:10 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Chiefs 27, Raiders 16
Moneyline (?)
The Chiefs are significant home favorites at -500 as they try to stay atop the division. They’re 2-3 at home, but the Raiders are only 1-4 on the road coming off the ugly loss to the Jets. KC wins this one, but these odds are too chalky with a $10 bet paying a profit of just $2. PASS and play the spread.
Against the Spread (?)
The wiser play is to back the CHIEFS (-9.5, –110) with the points for a win by 10 or more. They’re 6-5 against the spread on the year and cover by an average of 1.1 points per game. The Raiders are also 6-5 ATS, but they fail to cover by three points per game.
Over/Under (?)
The projected total of 51.5 points is the highest of the week. With neither team at full health, take the UNDER (-110). Three of the last four head-to-head meetings fell short of this week’s number. The Chiefs are 0-3 against the Over/Under in divisional games and the Raiders are 1-2.
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Esten’s NFL betting record: 29-34
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