The Oakland Athletics (44-28) wrap up their three-game set with the New York Yankees (37-33) at Yankee Stadium Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Athletics vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
New York rallied back from a 4-1 deficit by scoring a combined six runs in the 6th, 7th and 8th innings to beat Oakland 7-5 Saturday.
The Athletics won the first game of the series 5-3 so the series and aggregate scoring are squared up heading into the rubber match.
Season series: Tied 1-1.
LHP Sean Manaea makes his 15th start for the Athletics. Manaea is 6-2 with a 2.99 ERA (81 1/3 IP, 27 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 this year.
- Last outing: Win, 8-5, with 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 9 H, 1 BB and 5 K Monday vs. the Los Angeles Angels.
- vs. Yankees on the current roster: 42 at-bats with a .214/.313/.357 slash line, 12/6 K/BB, 2 HR and 5 RBIs.
LHP Jordon Montgomery is on the rubber for the Yankees. Montgomery is 3-1 with a 4.20 ERA (70 2/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 over 13 starts.
- Last outing: No-decision with 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 4 BB and 4 K in New York’s 6-5 victory at the Toronto Blue Jays Tuesday.
- Montgomery has a 2.75 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 6.0 K/BB rate and a .578 opponent’s OPS at home compared to a 5.71 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 2.5 K/BB rate and a .780 opponent’s OPS on the road.
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Athletics at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:28 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Athletics +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Athletics +1.5 (-150) | Yankees -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Yankees 8, Athletics 4
Money line (ML)
“LEAN” to the YANKEES (-150) for a three-fourths unit only, because the Athletics have been red-hot recently, winning nine of their past 11 games, and are 18-9 this season vs. left-handed starters.
However, Montgomery has pitched far better at home than on the road and New York’s lineup is starting to show signs of life.
Over the past seven days, the Yankees are top-10 in the advanced hitting metrics of wRC+, wOBA, BB/K rate and WAR.
Also, I like New York’s talented lineup’s chances of squaring up Manaea’s stuff Sunday since he only uses a three-pitch arsenal with slow velocity and low spin rates.
Lastly, the Yankees have a significant edge in relief pitching as New York’s bullpen ranks in the top-10 of advanced pitching categories such as SIERA and xFIP whereas Oakland’s bullpen is bottom-10 in each of those.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Slight “LEAN” to the YANKEES -1.5 (+125) for a quarter unit – if at all – because I anticipate some runs being scored in this series finale and New York could certainly add insurance to a lead against Oakland’s weak bullpen.
Over/Under (O/U)
“LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (-105) for a half unit because New York’s lineup is stacked with power right-handed hitters that could tee off on Manaea and Oakland’s lineup ranks top-10 in wRC+, wOBA and OPS vs. lefties.
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