Notre Dame’s chances of beating USC drop per ESPN FPI

How the computers see Notre Dame’s chances these final two weeks.

I’m in a love-hate relationship with ESPN’s Football Power Index.  I’ve said it before, will say it again, and rehash it another time or two just to be safe.  I love how it essentially tells you who would be favored if two teams met in a game.  I however can’t stand how it has obvious flaws that can’t seem to get fixed.

For the second year in a row, Texas has disappointed in terms of the national stage yet the 6-4 Longhorns are currently the seventh-rated team on FPI.  That’s one example and there are more but that’s not why you’re here.

FPI gives the chance of winning each remaining game for each team in all of college football.  We have followed this all year long as essentially a thermometer of how Notre Dame is viewed by a system that has no feelings, just formulas.

Here is how FPI sees Notre Dame’s chances in the final two weeks of 2022 and how those compare to what the formula said just a week ago.