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The North Florida Ospreys (7-5) and the No. 6 Florida Gators (11-0) meet Saturday at Stephen C. O’Connell Center in Gainesville. Tip-off is set for noon ET (SEC Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the North Florida vs. Florida odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
North Florida suffered a 95-81 loss at UNC Asheville Tuesday as a 3-point underdog with the Over (162) cashing. UNF has outright wins at South Carolina and at Georgia Tech, while opening the season 4-1 straight up (SU) and 4-0 against the spread (ATS). However, the Ospreys are just 3-4 SU and 2-4 ATS in the past 7 outings. What’s really impressive is that the Over is a perfect 10-0 this season for UNF.
Florida picked up a 90-84 win as a 3.5-point favorite against North Carolina Tuesday on a neutral floor at Spectrum Center in Charlotte. It was the Gators’ sixth consecutive cover. They have scored 83 or more points in 4 in a row, and at least 81 points in 10 of their 11 games. The Over is 2-1 in the past 3 outings, but 5-6 overall.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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North Florida at Florida odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Off the board
- Against the spread: North Florida +25.5 (-115) | Florida -25.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: 170.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
FanDuel Sportsbook lists a ML of:
- North Florida +2200 (bet $100 to win $2,200)
- Florida -8000 (bet $8,000 to win $100)
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North Florida at Florida picks and predictions
Prediction
Florida 96, North Florida 78
Moneyline
Florida (-8000) will cost 80 times the potential return, which is obviously way too much risk for not nearly enough reward. In fact, it will cost $100 for every $1.25 of profit.
AVOID.
Against the spread
BET NORTH FLORIDA +25.5 (-115) with the big points in this intra-state battle in Gainesville.
The Ospreys have already slayed 2 big-time programs, knocking off South Carolina and Georgia Tech this season. However, UNF has tailed off a little bit lately. Still, the Ospreys keep the foot on the gas, scoring plenty, and allowing plenty. They have the horses to at least stay within arm’s length.
There is risk as Florida has covered the past 6 games. However, as a favorite of 19 or more points, the Gators are 0-3 ATS this season.
Over/Under
OVER 170.5 (-110) is worth a look, but don’t get carried away.
Still, it’s hard to ignore the fact that the Over is a perfect 10-for-10 for North Florida so far this season.
The Gators have rolled up 83 or more points in 4 in a row, and more than 80 points in 10 of their 11 games.
Both teams rank in the top 15 in the nation in scoring. North Florida is seventh at 87.9 points per game (according to NCAA.com), while Florida is 15th at 86.5 PPG.
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