The 3rd-seeded Wisconsin Badgers (19-14) battle the 1st-seeded Oregon Ducks (21-14) Tuesday in the quarterfinals of the National Invitation Tournament. Tip from Matthew Knight Arena is set for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Wisconsin vs. Oregon odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
The Ducks finished the regular season 18-13 and won their first game of the Pac-12 Tournament before falling 75-56 to UCLA 75-56. They beat UC Irvine 84-56 as 5.5-point favorites in the first round of the NIT on Wednesday and then took down Central Florida 68-54 as 2.5-point favorites Sunday. Oregon is 3-1 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in postseason play.
The Badgers lost 65-57 to Ohio State in the first round of the Big Ten Tournament. They opened their NIT action with an 81-62 victory over Bradley as 3-point favorites last Tuesday and then took down Liberty 75-71 as 4-point favorites Sunday. Wisconsin is 1-1-1 ATS in its 3 postseason games with Over cashing in 2 of those games.
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Wisconsin at Oregon odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Wisconsin +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Oregon -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Wisconsin +4.5 (-115) | Oregon -4.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Wisconsin at Oregon picks and predictions
Prediction
Oregon 67, Wisconsin 61
Moneyline
AVOID.
Wisconsin is just 5-6 straight up on the road while Oregon is 15-5 straight up at home. The odds are justified here, but the Ducks (-190) are too pricy for an outright wager and should win by margin at a much better value. Focus on the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET OREGON -4.5 (-105).
Wisconsin is just 4-7 ATS on the road this season while Oregon is 11-8-1 ATS at home, so the trends lean to the Ducks here.
Oregon has also been playing better in the NIT, beating UCI by 26 points and UCF by 14 points as it covered both games. Wisconsin looked dominant beating Bradly by 21 points but looked less so with a push against Liberty.
Wisconsin is 0-9-2 ATS in its last 11 games following a SU victory according to covers.com, and that’s cause for concern. Oregon was also a far better team per Kenpom, sitting 34th in offensive efficiency and 53rd in defensive efficiency whereas Wisconsin was 131st and 27th respectively.
The Ducks are the better team here and they should cover at home. Back OREGON -4.5 (-105).
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Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 133.5 (-105).
Wisconsin plays at one of the slowest paces in the entire nation, ranking 342nd in adjusted tempo per kenpom. Oregon sits 205th, so it won’t be speeding this game up much.
Both teams play decent defense which also will play a factor. Oregon has gone Under in 3 straight games and has held both NIT opponents to under 60. Wisconsin has gone Under in 5 of its last 9.
Back the UNDER 133.5 (-105).
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