This week in the NFL is going to give us a clearer vision of who is and isn’t a legitimate playoff team. Much will be learned this week and these are five individual players we’re keeping an eye on to take bettors to the pay window with our top Week 14 player prop bet picks and predictions.
NFL Week 14 prop bet payday
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:10 a.m. ET.
In Godwin We Trust
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Chris Godwin is the big-play deep threat in the offense. The Minnesota Vikings have the youngest cornerback group in the NFL this year after a purge of veterans in the offseason. They have been exploited by every veteran QB they have faced, including Aaron Rodgers, Philip Rivers, Russell Wilson and Matt Ryan.
Bucs QB Tom Brady is ready to add his name to that list. With an Over/Under for receiving yardage of 65.5 (Over: -110, Under: -115), Godwin may only need two or three receptions to hit that number.
Take the OVER 65.5 (-110).
A Christmas Corey
Tennessee Titans WR Corey Davis has quietly become the go-to receiver for QB Ryan Tannehill. He has an Over/Under for receiving yards of 65.5 (O: -115, U: -105). In the 10 games he has played this season, he has gone over that number seven times, including each of the last four.
RB Derrick Henry and WR A.J. Brown get more notoriety, but Davis has done his job and has done it consistently. Coming in against a suspect Jacksonville Jaguars defense only makes it more obvious how you should be betting this one.
Take the OVER 65.5 (-115).
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The Man with the (Green and) Golden Arm
Many were convinced Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers‘ best days were behind him. The drafting of Jordan Love in the first round of this year’s draft seemed to be the first step in pushing Rodgers out the door much like he had helped orchestrate with Brett Favre.
A funny thing happened on the way to putting Rodgers out to pasture. He’s having his most statistically dominant season in years, but when is too much? His Over/Under for passing yards against the Detroit Lions is 314.5 (O: -118, U: -105). He has topped that number just three times in his last 17 meetings with the Lions and this one should be no exception to that established rule.
Take the UNDER 314.5 (-105).
The Zeke Shall Inherit the Earth
Dallas Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott is having the worst season of his career, averaging just 65 yards per game on the ground. QB Dak Prescott being gone and a ravaged offensive line are enough to help explain his decline, but he’s heading into Cincinnati to be the primary guy in the offense despite QB Andy Dalton‘s return to Bengals Country.
Elliott’s Over/Under for rushing yards is 73.5 (O: -105, U: -115) and he should be in line for 20 carries.
Take the OVER 73.5 (-105).
Get Off the Bus, Russ
The Seattle Seahawks are hosting the New York Jets, in what should be a blowout. In those instances, once a coach like Pete Carroll gets a lead, he tends to grind out the clock. With a strong run game to help milk the clock, QB Russell Wilson‘s Over/Under for passing yards is 284.5. That isn’t unusual because that’s roughly what the Jets defense allows on average.
Carroll will want to run the ball and take advantage of a lead to get in and get out without putting his QB at risk by dropping back too often.
Take the UNDER 284.5 (-110).
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