The fun of playing prop bets is when you see a number that doesn’t look right and you ask yourself why? Granted, they don’t build additions on casinos because everybody wins. We’ve unearthed three NFL Prop Bet Payday wagers for Sunday’s games that could make things a little more interesting for bettors who want to invest in a player instead of team. If all three guys are on your fantasy playoff team, you have to.
50 Shades of Graham
Oh, how the mighty have fallen. Green Bay Packers TE Jimmy Graham has been one of the most dominant tight ends of his generation. But, now he’s almost an afterthought. Things have gotten so bad, that his Over/Under for receiving yards is 19.5. The rationale makes sense. Graham’s targets over the last five games have been akin to the New Year’s Eve countdown clock – 5-4-3-2-1. He has hit 20 or more yards in five of his last eight games, including going under the last two. He only needs two catches to hit the Over. The Washington Redskins will keep hands off Jimmy and it will be a mistake. Take the OVER 19.5 (-118) for Graham’s receiving yards.
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Deshaun of the Dead
I was torn on this one because I’m just as interested at Houston Texans RB Carlos Hyde’s number (64½ yards). The Denver Broncos have been gashed by running backs all year, including Josh Jacobs (23-85-1), Leonard Fournette (29-225), Marlon Mack (19-76-1), Devin Singletary (21-109) and Melvin Gordon (20-99). When teams run with that frequency, a QB doesn’t put up eye-popping numbers. Houston QB Deshaun Watson’s Over/Under is 270½. Expect Hyde and Duke Johnson to run 25 times or more and keep the clock and the chains moving. Our boys at The Huddle have him at 240, a more realistic number. Take the UNDER 270.5 (-118) for Watson’s total passing yards.
When a Saint comes marching in
Now Orleans Saints RB Alvin Kamara has largely been a disappointment this season, scoring just two touchdowns through 12 games. But he still has a similar role in the offense and, with the San Francisco 49ers coming to town, Drew Brees will be looking to avoid standing in the pocket as a business decision. Kamara’s Over/Under is 59½ rushing yards. In the eight full games he has played without injury, he has topped 60 yards six times. The 49ers’ pass defense is oppressive, but it gives up big plays and big days on the ground to those who commit and have talent. Over the last seven games, opponents have gone Over every week, including Adrian Peterson (20-81), Christian McCaffrey (14-117-1), Kenyan Drake (31-177-1 in two games), Chris Carson (25-89-1), Green Bay’s ground game (28-117-1) and the combination of Lamar Jackson and Mark Ingram (31-160-1). Take the OVER 59.5 (-106) for Kamara’s rushing yards and watch him break off the two splash he needs to hit the Over.
Now that you have the skinny on what to do with each player, visit BetMGM to place a bet on your favorite NFL Prop Bets now. For additional sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com now and for a complete set of today’s live odds, access them at USA TODAY Sports.
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