With Halloween weekend upon us, those making NFL prop bets in Week 8 will have one of two options – players tricking you into parting with your money and those treating you to a visit to the pay window. Here are five “Trick or Treat” bets we like for Sunday.
NFL Week 8 prop bet payday
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:52 p.m. ET.
Cry me a Rivers
Indianapolis Colts QB Philip Rivers brings his shotput passing style to Motown to play the Detroit Lions. BetMGM’s Over/Under (O/U) line for Rivers’ passing yards is a pretty high number, listed at 273.5 (Over: -115, Under: -115). In six games as a Colt, Old Man Rivers has only hit that number once and, while Detroit isn’t an elite defense, we like our chances. Take the UNDER 273.5 (-115).
Also see: Colts at Lions odds, picks and prediction
Kansas City, here I come
The Kansas City Chiefs are hosting the hapless Jet, and TE Travis Kelce isn’t getting the respect he deserves with an O/U for receiving yards of 63.5 (-115 odds on both sides). Kelce is Patrick Mahomes’ safety valve and it likely will only take four or five receptions to hit that number. Since I project Kelce to pull in seven passes, I’m feeling comfortable with this one. Take the OVER 63.5 (-115).
Also see: Jets at Chiefs odds, picks and prediction
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That’s a fact, Jack
AFC North rivals Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens meet for their semi-annual bloodbath, and the Ravens are coming off their bye week. The Steelers defense is likely going to have someone spy Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson on every play to prevent the huge run that flips the field. It will likely result in other Ravens players being open, but the Steelers will do everything they can to make the backup singers beat them, not the lead vocalist. Jackson’s O/U for rushing yards is 59.5 (O: -162; U: +120. He’s hit that number in one of three career starts against the Steelers. Let’s make that one in four – with the bonus of plus-money. Take the UNDER 59.5 (+120).
Also see: Steelers at Ravens odds, picks and prediction
It takes Tua to tango
Miami Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa is making his debut as a starter against the visiting Los Angeles Rams and their aggressive defensive front. Sacks don’t count against your rushing total and the O/U on Tagovailoa is just 18.5 with the better return on the Over (-106) than the Under (-115). If the coaching staff has deemed Tagovailoa good to go, you can expect that when the pocket breaks down, he’s going to take off. He could top this number on one play. Take the OVER 18.5 (-106).
Also see: Rams at Dolphins odds, picks and prediction
Here, Kitty, Kitty, Kitty
The San Francisco 49ers travel north to take on the Seattle Seahawks, but most of the 49ers’ running backs are out or dinged up in some fashion. With the Seahawks’ high-octane offense likely to press the issue, the 49ers may have to fight fire with fire. That means QB Jimmy Garoppolo will have to pass more than usual. That always good news for TE George Kittle, Garoppolo’s primary beneficiary in the pass game. Kittle’s O/U for receiving yards is 67.5 (O: -132; U: +100). He has topped that number in two of their last three meetings and, with a ground game largely grounded, he should eclipse that again. Take the OVER 67.5 (-132).
Also see: 49ers at Seahawks odds, picks and prediction
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