NFL prop bets are a great way to get some betting action on your favorite players, teams or games you’re just watching as a neutral observer. Below, we highlight the best player prop bets for Week 4.
Now that COVID-19 has officially impacted the NFL season with the Tennessee Titans-Pittsburgh Steelers game being shifted to Week 7 with bye week alterations, we must hope it doesn’t become a trend because we won’t have bye weeks to cushion the blow. Bettors may want to get in on the action now because the 2020 season is rolling forward, but with a little more hesitancy after smooth sailing for three weeks.
NFL Week 4 prop bet payday
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:20 a.m. ET.
See Brees
New Orleans Saints WR Michael Thomas being ruled out impacted the prop bet world in a big way. Prior to the final injury report, there was quiet optimism Thomas could play. As a result, the Over/Under for QB Drew Brees‘ touchdown passes dropped from 2.5 to 1.5. The rub is that the Over is -200 and the Under is +160.
I don’t like getting 1:2 odds on any bet (you’re twice as angry if you lose), but coming off two straight losses, head coach Sean Payton might say, “Let’s throw 40 times just because we can.”
Two touchdowns for Brees shouldn’t be that difficult. Take the OVER 1.5 (-200) and swallow hard.
That’s a fact, Dak
With an average of nearly 400 passing yards per game, it’s not surprising to see Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott’s passing yards Over/Under at a lofty 318.5 (Over: -110, Under: -110). His previous games have been against the Los Angeles Rams, Atlanta Falcons and Seattle Seahawks – offenses capable of shootouts and ones that have outscored the Cowboys 36-9 in the first quarter of their games, forcing Dallas to change philosophy.
Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott and the Cleveland Browns’ tandem of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt should be the story of this one. That’s a big number before the first snap of the game unfolds.
Take the UNDER 318.5 (-110).
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You don’t mess around with Jim
We’re dipping our toe in Chicago Bears TE Jimmy Graham’s pool again, except this time you don’t have to worry about QB Mitchell Trubisky helping him hit the Over on yardage. He now has QB Nick Foles, who came from a Philadelphia Eagles offense that featured the tight end heavily.
After a couple of lackluster weeks, the switch to Foles led to Graham having 10 targets, six catches, 60 yards and two touchdowns (although one came from Trubisky before he was yanked) against the Atlanta Falcons in Week 3. His Over/Under for receiving yards is just 27.5 (Over: -112, Under: -110). Even if his numbers dial back to three or four receptions, he should hit that number.
Take the OVER 27.5 (-112).
If Darrell dies, we riot!
Los Angeles Rams RB Darrell Henderson was supposed to be the odd-man-out in the post-Todd Gurley Rams backfield. After just three carries in Week 1, he has rushed 32 times for 195 yards and two touchdowns in the last two games.
Against a New York Giants defense that opponents are running against more than 30 times per game, Henderson should get more than half of those – if not two-thirds. With an Over/Under of 68.5 rushing yards (Over: -112, Under: -110), he should hit that mark because you don’t take your foot off the gas when you have an RB running hot.
Take the OVER 68.5 (-112).
It ain’t easy being Green
Cincinnati Bengals WR A.J. Green has become one of the most overpaid players when a paycheck rubs up against production. His Week 4 Over/Under for receiving yards is 52.5 (Over: -110, Under: -112). In three games, he hasn’t hit that number yet, despite catching five passes in two of them.
He’s become a Check-Down Charlie with rookie QB Joe Burrow and Burrow seems much more interested in throwing to Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins on the rare occasion he’s taking downfield shots.
Take the UNDER 52.5 (-112).
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