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With a shortage of games with 6 teams on their bye week (thankfully the final bye week of 2022), we offer a variety pack of picks that touch different bases.
We have a sneaky-hot player scoring a touchdown (again), a couple of Pro Bowl tight ends hitting the Under and 2 guys in division games hitting the Over.
Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook‘s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 14 player prop bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.
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NFL Week 14 prop bet picks and predictions
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at Saturday at 10:30 a.m. ET.
Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett SCORES A TD (+135)
– Host Panthers, Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX)
Lockett has scored a touchdown in 5 straight games, and while DK Metcalf is the most-targeted wide receiver in the league in the end zone, Lockett is scoring on plays outside the red zone.
His 5 TDs in the last 5 games have included scores of 21, 33, 35 and 36 yards. When Seattle gets to a certain spot on the field and Lockett is single-covered, Geno Smith throws up 50/50 balls – which are more like 80/20 balls when Lockett is involved.
Streaks always come to an end, but at home, the Panthers likely won’t be the team that shuts him down.
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Bengals QB Joe Burrow OVER 275.5 passing yards (-115)
– Host Browns, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (CBS)
The Browns have a solid defense, but it hasn’t translated against Joe Cool. In 4 career games, he has completed 70 percent or more of his passes. In his last 3, he has averaged 309 passing yards a game.
The Bengals know how to exploit the weaknesses of the Browns defense, and Burrow will have the opportunity to make big plays over the top.
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Chiefs TE Travis Kelce UNDER 73.5 receiving yards (-115)
– At Broncos, Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS)
The Broncos have made it a habit of double-teaming Kelce and severely limiting him. Not only has Kelce struggled to hit the O/U numbers he’s facing this week, he hasn’t hit half those yards.
He has had less than 35 receiving yards in his last 2 meetings with Denver and 3 of the last 4. The Broncos have made other players beat them because they routinely double Kelce and take him away off the snap.
Eagles RB Miles Sanders OVER 66.5 rushing yards (-115)
– At Giants, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (FOX)
If you were to look at Sanders’ history with the Giants, he hasn’t hit this O/U number in 3 of 5 games, but it has been due to the lack of opportunities. He has averaged 5.3 yards a carry against the Giants, but just hasn’t had the opportunities to get many carries.
This season, Sanders has averaged 15 carries a game. If he gets anywhere near that number against the Giants, he will blow past it.
Vikings TE T.J. Hockenson UNDER 52.5 receiving yards (-115)
– At Lions, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (FOX)
I’m a big fan of revenge plays, but in Hockenson’s 1st game against his former team, his Vikings history says this number is too high.
In 5 games as a Viking, Hockenson has caught 30 passes, but has topped this number just once – his 1st game as a Viking when he caught 9 passes.
In Minnesota, Hockenson’s role is to be an underneath guy that moves the chains, not a downfield threat. He doesn’t have a single reception of 20 yards and is averaging 7.5 yards per reception. At that rate, he will have to catch 7 passes to hit the Over, and that’s a lot to ask – even for a guy looking for revenge.
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