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Fresh off overeating at Thanksgiving and searching for bargains on Black Friday, most of us are fatter and broker than we were Wednesday. It’s time to rectify that. How about we see some touchdowns Sunday?
Of all the prop bets that get made, among my blue-chip favorites are anytime touchdowns. Unlike most prop bets, you take home more than you invest if you win — unless you step up to cash in on favorites like Kanas City TE Travis Kelce or Tennessee RB Derrick Henry.
The best part about the anytime touchdown is you can get in the win column 4 minutes into a game or it can be a “garbage-time” cash-in.
Put on the sweatpants and get your turkey soup ready.
Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook‘s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 12 player prop bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.
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NFL week 12 prop bet picks and predictions
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9 a.m. ET.
Chicago Bears QB Justin Fields SCORES A RUSHING/RECEIVING TOUCHDOWN (+210)
– At Jets, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (FOX)
For the unaware, a light came on when the Bears figured out they can’t win throwing the ball and decided to let Fields do his thing as a runner. It came after the loss to Minnesota.
Fields has scored touchdowns in each of his last 5 games, and if the Bears get close, he’ll close the deal again. There is one thing to consider, though, and that is the left shoulder injury he suffered at the end of the Week 11 game. It sounds like a pain-tolerance issue, which could adjust some things in the scheme.
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Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson SCORES A RUSHING/RECEIVING TOUCHDOWN (+160)
– At Jaguars, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (CBS)
Where did Fields suddenly get his “take off when you want to” approach? From Jackson. What makes Jackson the most tantalizing touchdown bet is that you always come into a game convinced he’ll run one in.
He can do it from the opponent’s 1-yard line. He can do it from his own 20. That’s why he’s overdue on getting paid big.
The Jaguars only allow 1 rushing touchdown a game. They have yet to face Lamar. The last time they did (2020), he accounted for 4 TDs – 3 passing and the 1 we need Sunday.
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Cleveland Browns RB Nick Chubb SCORES A TOUCHDOWN (-125)
– Host Buccaneers, Sunday 1 p.m. ET (FOX)
The only non-plus-money bet of the week. Chubb has scored at least 1 touchdown in 7 of 10 games. When the Browns get in close, they know their best option to seal the deal with the ball in Chubb’s hands.
At home against a Buccaneers defense that has proven incapable of forcing an opposing offense to be one-dimensional, Chubb will get 20 chances to score. Most likely, 17 of them will be from more than 5 yards out. Those other 3 are where the pay window beckons.
Seattle Seahawks WR DK Metcalf SCORES A TOUCHDOWN (+130)
– Host Raiders, Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS)
I’m still not down with Geno Smith, but I am with Metcalf. As such, Metcalf has only cashed in on this 4 times in 10 games in bringing home a touchdown.
That being said, the Raiders and Davante Adams are coming to town, and there is such a thing as playcalling done to slap back. Adams is going to be targeted 10 or more times. The Seahawks will slap back. That means targeting the best mismatch Seattle has – Metcalf.
Quarterbacks playing the Raiders have a combined passer rating of 106.3 and average 2 touchdown passes a game. I’ll take my chances being a beneficiary of that.
Philadelphia Eagles WR A.J. Brown SCORES A TOUCHDOWN (+130)
– Host Packers, Sunday 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)
The Packers are a boxer waiting for the towel to be thrown in from the corner. Sunday night, at home, coming off a couple of weeks that are a stark contrast from what we all saw during the 8-game unbeaten streak for the Eagles…
That changes back to normal Sunday night.
In my opinion, the Eagles will score a minimum of 4 touchdowns against a Packers team that hasn’t had the answer for lesser teams. If they score 4 TDs, it’s hard to imagine a scenario where Brown doesn’t get one of them.
More NFL Week 12 picks and predictions
- Parlay: Let’s make some money
- Staff picks | Survivor | Underdogs
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