NFL Player Prop Bets Picks: 3 best value bets of Week 4

Analyzing the Week 4 matchups and offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player prop bets.

While there will be many premier Week 4 battles, all eyes will be on Sunday Night Football as Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Tom Brady returns to Gillette Stadium to face the New England Patriots. Below, we look at the NFL Week 4 player prop bets odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

There have been a few surprise teams through three-plus weeks, like the Cincinnati Bengals, who defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars on Thursday Night Football.

The Las Vegas Raiders have also surprised many. Each team’s quarterback is playing at an extremely high level. Let’s dive into three players we think may turn it on (or off) in Week 4.

Also see: Buccaneers at Patriots odds, picks and prediction

Week 4 prop bets picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

Bills QB Josh Allen OVER 280.5 passing yards (-114)

Allen is finding his rhythm, and that’s good for just about every NFL fan except those cheering for his opponent. Allen struggled through the first two games, with just 3 touchdowns and 1 interception.

As for yards, he threw for 270 against the Pittsburgh Steelers and then 179 in a blowout win over the Miami Dolphins. This past week, he went for 358 yards against the Washington Football Team.

Allen threw for over 280 yards in 10 of 16 games last season, and he’s playing a Houston Texans team that gave up 304 yards to Carolina Panthers QB Sam Darnold last week. Combine it all, and Allen’s Over is looking like a good bet.

Also see: Texans at Bills odds picks and prediction

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Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes OVER 2.5 passing touchdowns (-123)

Off to a 1-2 start with losses to the Los Angeles Chargers and Baltimore Ravens, Mahomes should be able to find his footing against a susceptible Philadelphia Eagles defense.

The Dallas Cowboys destroyed Philadelphia 41-21 last week. With Mahomes having 3 touchdowns in each of his first three games, he should be able to account for at least 3 against the Eagles.

It should also be noted Kansas City has just 2 rushing touchdowns through the first three weeks.

Also see: Chiefs at Eagles odds, picks and prediction

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Titans RB Derrick Henry UNDER 120.5 rushing yards (-114)

WRs Julio Jones and A.J. Brown are out for the Titans Sunday.

While that still doesn’t make the Jets favorites, it should allow New York to stack the box. The Jets’ one goal should be to make anyone other than Henry beat them.

Henry had 58, 182 and 113 rushing yards in the Titans’ first three games. The Jets are giving up around 110.7 yards per game on the ground which is among the middle of the pack in the league.

With the Jets focusing on Henry and him alone, they should be able to hold him under 120 yards. That’s a steep yards target, even for one of the best backs in the league.

Also see: Titans at Jets odds, picks and prediction

NFL Week 4 picks and predictions

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