The 2023 NFL Draft begins Thursday when some of the top players in college football will hear their names called. Seventeen have already been invited to Kansas City for the event.
Below, I analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s draft odds for NFL prospects and tab the Over/Under for the total number of quarterbacks drafted in the first round — just part of SportsbookWire’s many expert picks and predictions among our NFL best bets.
Many analysts are pegging several quarterbacks to be top-10 picks with most having at least 3 QBs taken in the first 5 picks. There are at least 4 surefire 1st-round locks at the position.
Alabama QB Bryce Young, Ohio State QB CJ Stroud and Kentucky QB Will Levis are the most prolific names ready to be called in the first 31 selections.
With the Panthers having traded into the No. 1 position for a quarterback, expect the 1st overall pick to be at the position. That said, let’s dive into how many to expect taken on Day 1.
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NFL odds: Total number of QBs drafted in Round 1
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8 p.m. ET
- Over 4.5: -154 (bet $154 to win $100)
- Under 4.5: +116 (bet $100 to win $116)
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NFL Draft: Best bet
UNDER 4.5 (+116)
Pro Football Focus, a well-known company that specializes in grading players throughout the season, assigned their analysts a team and mocked the 2023 NFL Draft. They had 4 quarterbacks taken in the first 4 picks. The next taken was at No. 61 to the Raiders.
That was Tennessee QB Hendon Hooker, and his draft position will likely make or break this pick. Levis, Florida QB Anthony Richardson, Stroud and Young are all considered locks to be 1st-round picks.
Hooker is the wild card. Having torn his ACL with Tennessee last season, there is a concern about both his injury history and his ceiling. Those should prevent him from being a 1st-round pick.
CBS Sports’ Pete Prisco also didn’t have 5 QBs in his final 1st-round mock draft. It is the most important position in football, but that doesn’t necessarily mean this is an ultra-deep draft class at quarterback with most not considering it even a good QB class.
While QB Tanner McKee from Stanford and championship-winning QB Stetson Bennett could jump up as well, this bet is made or broken by Hooker, and his injury history and ceiling are too much to overcome.
Given the value and those concerns, back the UNDER 4.5 (+116).
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