The New York Yankees (5-6) and Toronto Blue Jays (5-6) close out a three-game series Wednesday at 1:07 p.m. ET at TD Ballpark in Dunedin, Fla. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Corey Kluber is the projected starter for the Yankees. Kluber is returning to the mound after tossing just one inning before suffering a shoulder injury last summer. In two starts this season, the veteran righty has gone 0-1 with a 5.68 ERA, 2.71 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 and 7.1 BB/9 over 6 1/3 IP. Current Toronto bats own a small-sample .766 OPS against him.
RHP Ross Stripling is the projected starter for the Blue Jays. In 14 appearances over the last two seasons (2020-21), he is 3-4 with a 6.09 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 in 57 2/3 IP. Current Yankee bats own a .777 OPS against Stripling. The Dodger-turned-Blue Jay faced New York on April 3, allowing 3 ER on 7 hits in 3 1/3 IP.
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Yankees at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Blue Jays +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+105) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Blue Jays 5, Yankees 4
Money line (ML)
This figures as an early season pitching match-up to avoid altogether. There are a lot of missing data points in trying to cobble together a solid play or fade reasoning against either starter. The bullpens likely play an important role above and beyond Kluber and Stripling. Peg the Yanks with an edge there but not an overwhelming one.
The aggregate New York head space may have one toe already in the water of Thursday’s scheduled off day. On a small lean-partial unit-type play, TAKE TORONTO +115.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
STEER CLEAR OF THE RUN-PLUS ACTION in a game with a lot of gray area and a lean on the Under.
Over/Under (O/U)
TD Ballpark certainly figures as a hitter’s park, but the weather forecast for Wednesday afternoon calls for a 9-mile-an-hour inward breeze. The single-deck pitcher’s wind has turned many a Grapefruit League and/or Florida State League game into a pitcher’s duel.
There is room for the contrarian lean back toward a total of 8 or 9 here. BACK THE UNDER 10.5 (-110).
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