New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (51-47) and Tampa Bay Rays (60-40) open a three-game series Tuesday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Rays lead 8-5

Both clubs had Monday off following one-run losses Sunday. The Yankees fell 5-4 and dropped three of four at the Boston Red Sox. The Rays fell 3-2 at the Cleveland Indians to snap a five-game win streak.

LHP Jordan Montgomery is projected to start for New York in Tuesday’s opener. He is 3-5 with a 3.96 ERA (104 2/3 IP, 46 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 19 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 5-4 loss at Boston Thursday
  • 2021 vs. Rays: 2-1, 3.86 ERA (23 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 4 starts
  • Career vs. Rays: 3-3, 4.47 ERA (44 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 in 10 starts

LHP Shane McClanahan is projected to start for Tampa Bay. The rookie is 4-3 with a 3.88 ERA (65 IP, 28 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 14 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 9-3 home victory vs. Baltimore Orioles last Tuesday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 10.80 ERA (3 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 4-3 road loss June 2

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Yankees at Rays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:13 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Rays -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees +1.5 (-165) | Rays -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Rays 5, Yankees 3

Money line (ML)

TAMPA BAY (-145) is the way to go.

The Rays are 30-18 at home while the Yankees are 24-24 on the road.

The Rays are 25-10 as home favorites; the Yankees are 5-7 as road dogs.

Plus, the Yankees are 0-5 in Montgomery’s last 5 starts.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

TAMPA BAY -1.5 (+140) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

All eight of the Rays’ victories vs. the Yankees this season have been by 2 or more runs.

Last year, the Rays took the regular-season series 8-2, followed by a 3-2 best-of-5 AL Division Series triumph. Eight of those 11 Tampa Bay wins were by 2 or more runs.

Tampa Bay also features the majors’ third-best ATS record at 56-44 this season, while the Yankees rank 29th at 42-56.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS as the predicted score hits the O/U line of 8 on the nose.

The O/U is 7-6 in the 13 head-to-head games in 2021, including 3-3 in the contests at the Trop.

O/U records: Yankees 43-53-2 | Rays 54-43-3

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
SINCE JULY 8 8-3 2-2 +4.6
*SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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