The Tampa Bay Rays (4-4) go for a three-game sweep of the visiting New York Yankees (3-5) Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET at Tropicana Field (on MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The Rays took the first two games of the series as underdogs. They won 10-5 as +124 dogs Friday and shut out the Yankees 4-0 as +123 dogs Saturday.
LHP Jordan Montgomery is slated to start for New York in the finale. He tossed 6 scoreless innings in a 7-0 home win against the Baltimore Orioles Monday in his first outing of the season. He allowed just 4 hits with no walks and struck out 7.
- 2020 regular season vs. Rays: 0-1, 54.00 ERA (2/3 IP, 4 ER), 2 HR, 5 H, 1 BB, 2 K – Yankees lost 5-2
- 2020 postseason vs. Rays: 1 start (Game 4 ALDS), no-decision, 4 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 4 K – Yankees won 5-1
- Career vs. Rays (regular season): 1-2, 5.14 ERA (21 IP, 12 ER) in 6 starts
Rookie RHP Brent Honeywell Jr. is projected to make his MLB debut for the Rays in an opener role before giving way to RHP Michael Wacha.
Honeywell last pitched in a competitive minor-league game Sept. 19. 2017. After four arm surgeries, he returned this spring training and faced 5 batters in 1 inning.
Wacha is 0-1 after losing his first start in which he allowed 5 runs (4 earned) on 8 hits and 2 walks with 6 K’s in 5 innings of an 11-2 loss at the Boston Red Sox Monday.
- 2020 vs. Yankees: 0-0, 12.00 (3 IP, 4 ER), 1 BB, 7 K in 1 start with the New York Mets
- Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 5.63 ERA (16 IP, 10 ER) in 3 starts
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Yankees at Rays odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Rays +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+105) | Rays +1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Yankees 7, Rays 6
Money line (ML)
While the pitching matchup isn’t favorable for the Rays, TAMPA BAY (+120) is still worth a QUARTER-UNIT wager.
The Rays are 13-4 vs. the Yankees in their last 17 head-to-head meetings: 2-0 this season, 8-2 in last year’s regular season and 3-2 in a 2020 ALDS.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Back TAMPA BAY +1.5 (-130) to WIN 0.25 UNITS. In this case, a $30 Rays ATS wager profits $25 if they win outright or don’t lose by 2 or more runs.
ATS records: Yankees 3-5 | Rays 3-5
Over/Under (O/U)
Bet OVER 9 (-120) to WIN A HALF UNIT (Ex: $60 to win $50). Montgomery was impressive in his opener, but he has a bad history against the Rays. Wacha struggled in his 2021 debut and seems to be on the final leg of his career.
O/U records: Yankees 2-6 | Rays 6-2
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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Note: There is no STRONGEST PLAY on this card.
| JOHNNY PARLAY’S RECORD | W-L | SP | ROI |
| 2021 MLB | 8-12 | 3-3 | -2.6375 |
| 2020 MLB | 80-59-1 | 39-21 | +24.79 |
| 2021 record (all sports) | 110-97-1 | 52-44 | +10.4125 |
| *–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment | |||
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