The New York Yankees (66-31) and New York Mets (59-37) open a 2-game Subway Series Tuesday at 7:10 p.m. ET at Citi Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: First meeting. Teams play 2 games in Yankee Stadium Aug. 22-23. The Mets took 4 of 6 games from the Yankees in 2021.
The Yankees are 2-3 in the second half and are continuing a road trip that opened with stops in Houston and Baltimore. New York owns a .913 OPS in its last 10 road games. For the season, the Yanks’ .784 OPS away from home ranks first in MLB.
The Mets dropped 2 of 3 to the San Diego Padres last weekend and are just 5-7 over their last dozen games at Citi Field.
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Yankees at Mets projected starters
LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. RHP Taijuan Walker
Montgomery (3-2, 3.24 ERA) is tabbed for his 20th start. He sports a 1.05 WHIP, 1.67 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 108 1/3 IP.
- Owns a 7.11 ERA across 3 career starts against the Mets.
- Facing a club more adept against righties (.732 OPS, 9th MLB) than against lefties (.690 OPS, 22nd). Montgomery has held lefty bats to a .448 OPS this season.
Walker (7-2, 2.55 ERA) owns a 1.09 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 91 2/3 IP in 16 outings.
- Current Yankee batters own an aggregate .827 against him.
- Has allowed 1 ER over his last 21 IP at home and has a 1.80 ERA in his last 7 starts overall.
- Has been hampered by soreness in his knee and shoulder, so keep an eye on his status for this one.
Yankees at Mets odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -108 (bet $100 to win $108) | Mets -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+155) | Mets +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)
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Yankees at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 6, Mets 4
Money line
Walker’s recent success has been buoyed by generous rates around the margins (a .219 batting average on balls in play in his last 4 starts, for instance). With a lefty on the mound, the Yankees have the platoon advantage. And the Mets have registered a mere .639 OPS over their last 12 games at home.
BACK THE YANKEES (-108).
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Run line/Against the spread
TAKE THE YANKEES -1.5 (+155). Consider a partial unit unless you can get a price of +160 or better.
Over/Under
Peg the Over with a slight tug here. But with reset bullpens (both teams had off days Monday), this lean is too small to warrant action. PASS.
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