The New York Yankees (79-63) and New York Mets (71-72) cap off a three-game Subway Series Sunday with an 8:08 p.m. ET first pitch at Citi Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Clarke Schmidt is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is being called up from Triple-A Scranton for what marks his second career MLB start and his first major-league action of 2021.
The 25-year-old right-hander appeared in three games last season and allowed 5 ER over 6 1/3 IP. His 2021 season has been cut short by an elbow injury suffered in spring training.
- Appeared in eight minor league games across four levels this season. Posted a 2.96 ERA and 1.24 WHIP over 27 1/3 IP.
RHP Carlos Carrasco is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 1-2 with a 5.88 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 and 1.6 BB/9 through 33 2/3 IP spanning eight starts.
- Coming off back-to-back starts against the Miami Marlins with 7 runs (4 ER) over 10 1/3 IP. Logged a 7.07 ERA over his previous three starts against the San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers.
Yankees at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:55 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+160) | Mets +1.5 (-200)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Prediction
Mets 5, Yankees 4
Money line (ML)
The Yanks went into this series having lost six straight and 10 of their previous 12 games. That slump came after winning 13 consecutive games from Aug. 14-27.
The Mets were in first place in the NL East through Aug. 6, but they have fallen off with a 23-32 second half. That second half includes one win and one loss thus far in this series. The Mets took Friday’s opener, 10-3 but lost a Saturday cliffhanger 8-7.
Schmidt represents a desperate start for the Yankees. He wasn’t going even 5 innings in the minors, so this figures to be a short-inning start leading into a bullpen game. The Yanks are 1-3 in their last four series finales and are in a fatigue-rut portion of their schedule.
BACK THE METS (-120).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the extra juice drowning out the prices on this run line.
Over/Under (O/U)
Peg both offenses as being undervalued. Both bullpens figure to be in careful-management mode with several top arms likely to remain on the shelf.
TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-115).
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