The Minnesota Twins (32-25) host the New York Yankees (40-15) for the 2nd game of their 3-game series at Target Field Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.
New York handled Minnesota 10-4 in the series opener Tuesday as the Yankees’ 2- through 5-hitters (CF Aaron Judge, 1B Anthony Rizzo and DH Giancarlo Stanton) each homered.
Season series: Yankees lead 1-0
Yankees at Twins projected starters
LHP Nestor Cortes vs. RHP Chris Archer
Cortes is 5-1 with an MLB-leading 1.50 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 60 IP over 10 starts.
- Last start: Win, 6-1 Thursday at home vs. the Los Angeles Angels with 7-scoreless IP, 5 H, 2 BB and 7 K.
- 2021 vs. the Twins: One start – a 10-2 win at home Aug. 20 – with 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 7 K.
Archer is 0-2 with a 3.89 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 39 1/3 IP over 10 starts.
- Last start: No-decision in Minnesota’s 3-2 loss at the Detroit Tigers Thursday with 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 3 K.
- 2021 vs. the Yankees: No-decision in a 4-0 home win April 10 while pitching for the Tampa Bay Rays with 2 1/3-scoreless IP, 3 H, 0 BB and 4 K.
Yankees at Twins odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:41 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Yankees -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Twins +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (-112) | Twins +1.5 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)
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Yankees at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 7, Twins 3
Money line
RISK 1 UNIT on YANKEES (-190) since their ML is pricey.
The Yankees have a 3-phase edge (starting and relief pitching and hitting) over pretty much every team in baseball including the Twins Wednesday.
New York is 8-2 straight up (SU) in Cortes’ 10 starts and the Yankees own the Twins historically. The Yankees are 70-22 SU in their last 92 meetings with the Twins and 39-17 in their last 56 visits to Minnesota.
If your standard unit is $100, BET $100 on the YANKEES (-190) to earn a $52.63 profit.
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
New York’s obvious edges over Minnesota are accurately priced in this RL. The Yankees -1.5 (-108) are 11-10 RL as road favorites and the Twins +1.5 (-112) are just 2-6 RL as home underdogs.
I stay away from most run lines charging juice. PASS.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 9.5 (+110)
The Yankees-Twins series historically plays Over the total (42-19-3 O/U in their last 64 meetings) and both lineups rank in the top 10 across several advanced hitting categories.
However, New York is 9-12 O/U as a road favorite, Minnesota is 3-4-1 O/U as a home underdog, Target Field is 24th in park factor (very pitcher-friendly) and we are getting the worse of the number since this total opened at 8.5, according to Pregame.com.
LEAN OVER 9.5 (+110).
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