The New York Yankees (8-11) go for a third straight win in this four-game series at the Cleveland Indians (8-10) Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET at Progressive Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Yankees lead 2-0 – they won 6-3 Thursday and 5-3 Friday.
RHP Gerrit Cole is Saturday’s projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He’s 2-1 with a 1.82 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 0.81 WHIP, 14.2 K/9 and 1.1 BB/9 in 4 starts.
- Last outing: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 10 K vs. Tampa Bay Rays Sunday – Yankees lost 4-2
- Career vs. Indians (regular season): 2-1, 2.79 ERA (29 IP, 9 ER), 0.83 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 4 starts
- 2020 postseason vs. Indians: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 13 K in 12-3 road victory in Game 1 of best-of-2 Wild Card Series
RHP Shane Bieber is the projected Indians’ starter. The 2020 AL Cy Young winner is 2-1 with a 2.45 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 14.7 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 4 starts.
- Last outing: Win, 8 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 13 K at Cincinnati Reds Sunday – Indians won 6-3
- Career vs. Yankees (regular season): 1-0, 8.31 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.62 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 in 2 starts
- Career postseason vs. Yankees: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 12-3 home loss in Game 1 of 2020 Wild Card Series
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Yankees at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:45 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Indians +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+145) | Indians +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Indians 5, Yankees 4
Money line (ML)
CLEVELAND (+105) is the way to go. Bieber is the perfect medicine for the Indians to snap their 3-game losing streak. Bieber won his last two starts and has pitched well enough that he easily could be 4-0.
Bieber should be super focused for this one. In his last 2020 appearance, he lost a head-to-head matchup to Cole in Game 1 of their Wild Card Series. Bieber had all offseason to think about that outing when he was torched for 7 runs in 4 2/3 innings in a 12-3 rout. He should be ready Saturday.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS. The price is too chalky for my liking in Indians +1.5 (-175).
ATS records: Yankees 8-11 | Indians 10-8
Over/Under (O/U)
As long as the O/U line stays below 7, OVER 6.5 (-105) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. If it climbs to 7, the play becomes a HALF-UNIT wager
Both starting pitchers are each 1-3 O/U this season. Cole has allowed (in order) 2, 0, 1 and 2 earned runs in his outings, while Bieber has surrendered 3, 2, 0 and 3 earned runs.
At 6.5, I like the OVER’s chances but wouldn’t be surprised if one pitcher, with or without help from his bullpen, tosses a shutout. OVER 6.5 is just too tasty!
O/U records: Yankees 7-12 | Indians 7-11
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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
| JOHNNY RECORD | W-L | SP | ROI |
| 2021 MLB | 28-16-1 | 8-4-1 | +11.0275 |
| 2021 (all sports) | 131-101-2 | 57-45-1 | +24.5775 |
| *–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment | |||
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