New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians Game 2 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (56-21) and Cleveland Guardians (39-34) clash in a Saturday day-night doubleheader at Progressive Field. The first pitch in Game 2 is slated for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

(Team records and stats are through Friday – pre-doubleheader).

Season series: New York leads 3-0.

These teams were washed out Friday night. The Yankees are coming off a 2-1 loss at Houston, a solo game kicking off a trip that continues with stops in Pittsburgh and Boston next week. A clicking-through-most-of-June offense has been slowed of late. Over their last 7 games, the Yankees have scored just 3.43 runs per game on a .593 OPS.

The Guardians are coming off back-to-back walkoff comeback wins against the Minnesota Twins and are 3-1 in their last 4 games after a 5-game losing skid. Overall, Cleveland is coming off a big month: the Guardians have played .667 (20-10) ball over their last 30 games.

Yankees at Guardians projected starters

LHP Nestor Cortes vs. RHP Aaron Civale

Cortes (6-3, 2.51 ERA) has logged a 0.99 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 79 IP over 14 starts.

  • Faced Cleveland April 23 and allowed 2 runs on 1 hit and 2 BB in 6 1/3 IP.
  • Owns a 5.68 ERA with 6 home runs allowed over his last 4 starts (19 IP).

Civale (2-4, 7.20 ERA) is tabbed for his 10th start of the season. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 40 IP.

  • Missed most of June with a thigh injury. Has allowed 17 base runners and 5 R in 9 IP since returning to the rotation June 21.
  • Since 2020, owns a 5.15 ERA, 1.36 WHIP in home starts.

Yankees at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 12:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees -180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Guardians +145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Yankees -1.5 (-108) | Guardians +1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Guardians 4

Money line

Cleveland’s record looks to be a bit inflated by a 14-9 mark in 1-run games. Peg New York as a worthy favorite up to -180. BACK THE YANKEES (-180).

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Run line/Against the spread

In their 7-game offensive slide, the Yanks have gone just 7-for-32 (.218) with runners in scoring position. Statcast quality-of-contact figures are bullish on New York’s offense and bearish on Cleveland’s.

The Yanks have pounded fly-ball pitchers to the tune of a .749 OPS (and that’s with a low .248 batting average on balls in play). Cleveland has scuffled against lefties (MLB-worst .614 OPS).

TAKE NEW YORK -1.5 (-108).

Over/Under

In a play fading both bullpens and favoring a powerful New York offense against a fly-ball inducing Civale, TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-120).

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