New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (63-52) and Chicago White Sox (68-48) continue a three-game series Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Jameson Taillon is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 7-4 with a 3.82 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 8.9 K/9, and 2.7 BB/9 in 113 IP over 22 starts.

  • Owns an 0.89 ERA over his last five starts, allowing just 1 home run over that stretch.
  • Current Sox batters own a high-contact .945 OPS against Taillon.
  • Has struggled on the road this season recording a 4.62 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.

RHP Dylan Cease is the projected starter for the White Sox. He is 9-6 with a 3.99 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 12.0 K/9, and 3.7 BB/9 in 119 2/3 IP over 23 starts.

  • Owns a 2.43 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over his last 5 starts at Guaranteed Rate Field. Has logged a 2.20 ERA in 11 starts at home on the season.
  • Has pitched through the traffic of a .359 batting average on balls in play to post a 3.58 ERA in five starts since the All-Star break.

Yankees vs. White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:06 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | White Sox -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees +1.5 (-180) | White Sox -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Prediction

Yankees 5, White Sox 4

Money line (ML)

The Yankees have battled through injuries and COVID-19 roster issues, and they’ve made their way to a fine 17-9 record in the second half including dropping the series opener.

New York suffered a dramatic 9-8 loss in the opener Thursday in Dyersville, Iowa, in a special Field of Dreams game.

Chicago is 7-4 in August after its corn-fed victory Thursday. The Pale Hose have scored 7 or more runs in five of those wins, and they’re the “lean” in principle for Saturday’s game.

However, the current prices make the YANKEES (+120) a better value.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. Any leverage is drowned out by the juice here.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both offenses can string together some walks and homers and get to 5 or more runs with regularity and they played their way to 17 runs on Thursday. This contest gets played in slightly cooler weather and with the forecast of an inward breeze.

However, there is some analytic pushback to Taillon’s ERA and to the work of both bullpens of late. BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-120).

Consider monitoring the total throughout the early part of the day and look to pounce on any swing back to a more favorable price.

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