The New York Yankees (30-21, 2nd in AL East) and Boston Red Sox (19-33, 5th in AL East) play the second game of a three-game series at Fenway Park Saturday. Opening pitch is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Yankees-Red Sox betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.
Yankees at Red Sox: Projected starting pitchers
LHP J.A. Happ vs. RHP Chris Mazza
Happ: 1-2, 7 starts, 3.96 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 7.4 K/9, 3.2 BB/9, 36 1/3 IP
- Completed 5 innings with only a solo home run allowed in a Yankees win over the Baltimore Orioles his last time out.
- Owns a 6-2 record with a 2.91 ERA through 11 career games (10 starts) at Fenway.
Mazza: 1-1, 7 games (4 starts), 5.57 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, 9.4 K/9, 4.3 BB/9, 21 IP
- Came out of the bullpen in each of his last two appearances. Pitched a scoreless inning with one walk and one strikeout against the Miami Marlins Wednesday.
- Has allowed 4 earned runs in just 6 1/3 innings in his home park this season.
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Yankees at Red Sox: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Red Sox
- OF Andrew Benintendi (ribs) out
- 2B Yairo Munoz (back) questionable
- OF Alex Verdugo (hamstring) questionable
Yankees at Red Sox: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Yankees 7, Red Sox 4
Money line (ML)
The Yankees (-200) are a little too expensive following a 6-5 win in Friday’s series opener. They should win more comfortably Saturday with Happ owning great numbers at Fenway and Mazza not inspiring any faith in the Red Sox (+180) winning, but there’s no value in a money line bet.
PASS and look to the spread for action on the Yankees.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Yankees to win straight up would return a profit of $5.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The YANKEES -2.5 (+110) alternate run line will need to win by at least 3 runs Saturday to cover the spread. The Bronx Bombers lead the head-to-head season series 8-0 and Friday was their first time failing to cover a line of -1.5, as they won by just a single run.
New York’s back to full health with OFs Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge leading a late-season surge. The Yankees have won nine straight games and will make it 10 in a row against the last-placed Sox.
Over/Under (O/U)
The season series is split 4-4 against the Over/Under with a high of 16 total runs scored in two of the eight games. The teams have combined for a low of 6 runs twice in the series.
Take the OVER 10 (-110) with both teams in the top 10 of MLB by OPS in their respective pitching split Saturday.
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